Mar 30, 2026 · 1h 6m · sourcery

The Public Venture Fund That 9x’d in 3 Days (Fundrise VCX) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Ben Miller · 45m spoken Molly O'Shea · 12m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this episode of Sourcery, host Molly O'Shea interviews Benjamin Miller, Co-Founder and CEO of Fundrise, about VCX—a publicly traded venture capital fund democratizing retail access to premier private tech startups. Miller discusses VCX's market mechanics, founder-first investment philosophy, macro venture vulnerabilities, and the economic imperative of public AI equity ownership.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Molly holds 20.5% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Molly as informed peer 5.1 Guest teaching 5.3 Guest disagreement 2.5 Molly pushing back 1.7
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:00:001:12–5:53 · Molly as informed peer 5/10 Welcome & The Origin Story of Fundrise VCX Molly kicks off by asking for the origin story and rationale behind launching VCX now. She demonstrates knowledge of venture secondary dynamics by highlighting how distressed funds sell high-quality assets to generate DPI. Ben elaborates on his board's initial resistance and his contrarian view that venture capitalists are not uniquely gifted.5:53–14:50 · Molly as informed peer 6/10 VCX Public Listing Mechanics, Valuation, and Closed-End Fund Structure Molly recites the exact portfolio allocations across Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, and SpaceX while asking technical questions about closed-end fund trading mechanics. Ben explains the distinction between open-ended ETFs and closed-end funds, highlighting how VCX broke the historical mold of closed-end funds trading at discounts.14:50–17:02 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 Comparing VCX to Other Public Venture Attempts Molly prompts Ben to discuss prior public venture attempts like Destiny and Robinhood, framing Destiny as a troubled launch. Ben rejects her premise, arguing that Destiny actually performed well considering its goals, and explains how Robinhood helped normalize public retail venture funds for tech founders.17:02–20:28 · Molly as informed peer 7/10 Private vs. Public Market Bifurcation and the Rise of Public Venture Capital Molly demonstrates strong domain authority by citing a16z general partner Alex Zimmerman, Coatue, and OpenAI's $110B round representing a third of 2025 tech funding. Ben supports her point with concrete metrics, contrasting the QQQ's 25% weighted average growth against VCX's 193% portfolio growth.20:28–24:24 · Molly as informed peer 6/10 Primary vs. Secondary Capital, IPO Delays, and SaaS Volatility Molly draws on her interview with Coatue's Thomas Laffont to discuss the SaaS multiple collapse following frontier AI model releases. Ben dismisses the idea that the IPO window is reopening, citing geopolitical conflict and the public markets' volatile repricing of SaaS revenue durability.24:24–31:25 · Molly as informed peer 3/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex Following sponsor reads, Molly questions how VCX will weather structural downturns and whether its retail investor base is familiar with frontier labs. Ben explains that public venture vehicles are inherently pro-cyclical and notes that many retail customers were unfamiliar with Anthropic prior to recent news cycles.31:25–38:41 · Molly as informed peer 5/10 Value-Add Strategy, Due Diligence, and Underrated Portfolio Holdings Molly inquires about Fundrise's strategic value-add and mentions relevant tech acquisitions like Brex and Capital One. Ben offers a contrarian reframe by stating that the best value-add is no value-add, advocating for passive long-term capital while illustrating Fundrise's customer distribution partnership with Ramp.38:41–43:15 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 Team Execution, Founder Resilience, and Retail Investor Realities Molly asks how Fundrise structured the internal team executing VCX and inquires about specific portfolio facilities. Ben dismisses traditional management theories on delegation, arguing that difficult execution requires founding maniacs, and recounts the extreme volatility of managing hundreds of thousands of retail investors.43:15–49:08 · Molly as informed peer 6/10 Fundrise's Origins, Founder Introspection, and the Future of Venture Mega-Funds Molly brings up Marc Andreessen's viral post claiming great founders are not introspective and tracks AUM figures across a16z, Sequoia, and General Catalyst. Ben rejects Andreessen's claim and educates Molly on the concept that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, predicting venture mega-firms will inevitably go public like investment banks.49:08–55:52 · Molly as informed peer 6/10 VCX Outro Bumper Molly quotes a PitchBook statistic showing 40% of unicorns have not raised in three years, calling them zombies, and questions macro debt deficits. Ben gently pushes back on the zombie terminology and compares the current venture transition to the extended fallout of the 1980s Savings and Loan crisis.55:52–1:03:11 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 AI Economic Impact, White-Collar Job Displacement, and VCX's Long-Term Goals Molly guides the closing segment into broad macroeconomic impacts of AI and long-term societal vision. Ben provides concrete internal data on Fundrise's headcount reduction from 350 to 200 employees via AI adoption and estimates a 20-30% suppression of white-collar jobs across the economy.1:12–5:53 · Guest teaching 5/10 Welcome & The Origin Story of Fundrise VCX Molly kicks off by asking for the origin story and rationale behind launching VCX now. She demonstrates knowledge of venture secondary dynamics by highlighting how distressed funds sell high-quality assets to generate DPI. Ben elaborates on his board's initial resistance and his contrarian view that venture capitalists are not uniquely gifted.5:53–14:50 · Guest teaching 6/10 VCX Public Listing Mechanics, Valuation, and Closed-End Fund Structure Molly recites the exact portfolio allocations across Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, and SpaceX while asking technical questions about closed-end fund trading mechanics. Ben explains the distinction between open-ended ETFs and closed-end funds, highlighting how VCX broke the historical mold of closed-end funds trading at discounts.14:50–17:02 · Guest teaching 5/10 Comparing VCX to Other Public Venture Attempts Molly prompts Ben to discuss prior public venture attempts like Destiny and Robinhood, framing Destiny as a troubled launch. Ben rejects her premise, arguing that Destiny actually performed well considering its goals, and explains how Robinhood helped normalize public retail venture funds for tech founders.17:02–20:28 · Guest teaching 6/10 Private vs. Public Market Bifurcation and the Rise of Public Venture Capital Molly demonstrates strong domain authority by citing a16z general partner Alex Zimmerman, Coatue, and OpenAI's $110B round representing a third of 2025 tech funding. Ben supports her point with concrete metrics, contrasting the QQQ's 25% weighted average growth against VCX's 193% portfolio growth.20:28–24:24 · Guest teaching 5/10 Primary vs. Secondary Capital, IPO Delays, and SaaS Volatility Molly draws on her interview with Coatue's Thomas Laffont to discuss the SaaS multiple collapse following frontier AI model releases. Ben dismisses the idea that the IPO window is reopening, citing geopolitical conflict and the public markets' volatile repricing of SaaS revenue durability.24:24–31:25 · Guest teaching 4/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex Following sponsor reads, Molly questions how VCX will weather structural downturns and whether its retail investor base is familiar with frontier labs. Ben explains that public venture vehicles are inherently pro-cyclical and notes that many retail customers were unfamiliar with Anthropic prior to recent news cycles.31:25–38:41 · Guest teaching 5/10 Value-Add Strategy, Due Diligence, and Underrated Portfolio Holdings Molly inquires about Fundrise's strategic value-add and mentions relevant tech acquisitions like Brex and Capital One. Ben offers a contrarian reframe by stating that the best value-add is no value-add, advocating for passive long-term capital while illustrating Fundrise's customer distribution partnership with Ramp.38:41–43:15 · Guest teaching 5/10 Team Execution, Founder Resilience, and Retail Investor Realities Molly asks how Fundrise structured the internal team executing VCX and inquires about specific portfolio facilities. Ben dismisses traditional management theories on delegation, arguing that difficult execution requires founding maniacs, and recounts the extreme volatility of managing hundreds of thousands of retail investors.43:15–49:08 · Guest teaching 6/10 Fundrise's Origins, Founder Introspection, and the Future of Venture Mega-Funds Molly brings up Marc Andreessen's viral post claiming great founders are not introspective and tracks AUM figures across a16z, Sequoia, and General Catalyst. Ben rejects Andreessen's claim and educates Molly on the concept that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, predicting venture mega-firms will inevitably go public like investment banks.49:08–55:52 · Guest teaching 6/10 VCX Outro Bumper Molly quotes a PitchBook statistic showing 40% of unicorns have not raised in three years, calling them zombies, and questions macro debt deficits. Ben gently pushes back on the zombie terminology and compares the current venture transition to the extended fallout of the 1980s Savings and Loan crisis.55:52–1:03:11 · Guest teaching 5/10 AI Economic Impact, White-Collar Job Displacement, and VCX's Long-Term Goals Molly guides the closing segment into broad macroeconomic impacts of AI and long-term societal vision. Ben provides concrete internal data on Fundrise's headcount reduction from 350 to 200 employees via AI adoption and estimates a 20-30% suppression of white-collar jobs across the economy.1:12–5:53 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Welcome & The Origin Story of Fundrise VCX Molly kicks off by asking for the origin story and rationale behind launching VCX now. She demonstrates knowledge of venture secondary dynamics by highlighting how distressed funds sell high-quality assets to generate DPI. Ben elaborates on his board's initial resistance and his contrarian view that venture capitalists are not uniquely gifted.5:53–14:50 · Guest disagreement 2/10 VCX Public Listing Mechanics, Valuation, and Closed-End Fund Structure Molly recites the exact portfolio allocations across Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, and SpaceX while asking technical questions about closed-end fund trading mechanics. Ben explains the distinction between open-ended ETFs and closed-end funds, highlighting how VCX broke the historical mold of closed-end funds trading at discounts.14:50–17:02 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Comparing VCX to Other Public Venture Attempts Molly prompts Ben to discuss prior public venture attempts like Destiny and Robinhood, framing Destiny as a troubled launch. Ben rejects her premise, arguing that Destiny actually performed well considering its goals, and explains how Robinhood helped normalize public retail venture funds for tech founders.17:02–20:28 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Private vs. Public Market Bifurcation and the Rise of Public Venture Capital Molly demonstrates strong domain authority by citing a16z general partner Alex Zimmerman, Coatue, and OpenAI's $110B round representing a third of 2025 tech funding. Ben supports her point with concrete metrics, contrasting the QQQ's 25% weighted average growth against VCX's 193% portfolio growth.20:28–24:24 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Primary vs. Secondary Capital, IPO Delays, and SaaS Volatility Molly draws on her interview with Coatue's Thomas Laffont to discuss the SaaS multiple collapse following frontier AI model releases. Ben dismisses the idea that the IPO window is reopening, citing geopolitical conflict and the public markets' volatile repricing of SaaS revenue durability.24:24–31:25 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex Following sponsor reads, Molly questions how VCX will weather structural downturns and whether its retail investor base is familiar with frontier labs. Ben explains that public venture vehicles are inherently pro-cyclical and notes that many retail customers were unfamiliar with Anthropic prior to recent news cycles.31:25–38:41 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Value-Add Strategy, Due Diligence, and Underrated Portfolio Holdings Molly inquires about Fundrise's strategic value-add and mentions relevant tech acquisitions like Brex and Capital One. Ben offers a contrarian reframe by stating that the best value-add is no value-add, advocating for passive long-term capital while illustrating Fundrise's customer distribution partnership with Ramp.38:41–43:15 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Team Execution, Founder Resilience, and Retail Investor Realities Molly asks how Fundrise structured the internal team executing VCX and inquires about specific portfolio facilities. Ben dismisses traditional management theories on delegation, arguing that difficult execution requires founding maniacs, and recounts the extreme volatility of managing hundreds of thousands of retail investors.43:15–49:08 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Fundrise's Origins, Founder Introspection, and the Future of Venture Mega-Funds Molly brings up Marc Andreessen's viral post claiming great founders are not introspective and tracks AUM figures across a16z, Sequoia, and General Catalyst. Ben rejects Andreessen's claim and educates Molly on the concept that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, predicting venture mega-firms will inevitably go public like investment banks.49:08–55:52 · Guest disagreement 2/10 VCX Outro Bumper Molly quotes a PitchBook statistic showing 40% of unicorns have not raised in three years, calling them zombies, and questions macro debt deficits. Ben gently pushes back on the zombie terminology and compares the current venture transition to the extended fallout of the 1980s Savings and Loan crisis.55:52–1:03:11 · Guest disagreement 1/10 AI Economic Impact, White-Collar Job Displacement, and VCX's Long-Term Goals Molly guides the closing segment into broad macroeconomic impacts of AI and long-term societal vision. Ben provides concrete internal data on Fundrise's headcount reduction from 350 to 200 employees via AI adoption and estimates a 20-30% suppression of white-collar jobs across the economy.1:12–5:53 · Molly pushing back 1/10 Welcome & The Origin Story of Fundrise VCX Molly kicks off by asking for the origin story and rationale behind launching VCX now. She demonstrates knowledge of venture secondary dynamics by highlighting how distressed funds sell high-quality assets to generate DPI. Ben elaborates on his board's initial resistance and his contrarian view that venture capitalists are not uniquely gifted.5:53–14:50 · Molly pushing back 2/10 VCX Public Listing Mechanics, Valuation, and Closed-End Fund Structure Molly recites the exact portfolio allocations across Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, and SpaceX while asking technical questions about closed-end fund trading mechanics. Ben explains the distinction between open-ended ETFs and closed-end funds, highlighting how VCX broke the historical mold of closed-end funds trading at discounts.14:50–17:02 · Molly pushing back 2/10 Comparing VCX to Other Public Venture Attempts Molly prompts Ben to discuss prior public venture attempts like Destiny and Robinhood, framing Destiny as a troubled launch. Ben rejects her premise, arguing that Destiny actually performed well considering its goals, and explains how Robinhood helped normalize public retail venture funds for tech founders.17:02–20:28 · Molly pushing back 2/10 Private vs. Public Market Bifurcation and the Rise of Public Venture Capital Molly demonstrates strong domain authority by citing a16z general partner Alex Zimmerman, Coatue, and OpenAI's $110B round representing a third of 2025 tech funding. Ben supports her point with concrete metrics, contrasting the QQQ's 25% weighted average growth against VCX's 193% portfolio growth.20:28–24:24 · Molly pushing back 2/10 Primary vs. Secondary Capital, IPO Delays, and SaaS Volatility Molly draws on her interview with Coatue's Thomas Laffont to discuss the SaaS multiple collapse following frontier AI model releases. Ben dismisses the idea that the IPO window is reopening, citing geopolitical conflict and the public markets' volatile repricing of SaaS revenue durability.24:24–31:25 · Molly pushing back 1/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex Following sponsor reads, Molly questions how VCX will weather structural downturns and whether its retail investor base is familiar with frontier labs. Ben explains that public venture vehicles are inherently pro-cyclical and notes that many retail customers were unfamiliar with Anthropic prior to recent news cycles.31:25–38:41 · Molly pushing back 2/10 Value-Add Strategy, Due Diligence, and Underrated Portfolio Holdings Molly inquires about Fundrise's strategic value-add and mentions relevant tech acquisitions like Brex and Capital One. Ben offers a contrarian reframe by stating that the best value-add is no value-add, advocating for passive long-term capital while illustrating Fundrise's customer distribution partnership with Ramp.38:41–43:15 · Molly pushing back 1/10 Team Execution, Founder Resilience, and Retail Investor Realities Molly asks how Fundrise structured the internal team executing VCX and inquires about specific portfolio facilities. Ben dismisses traditional management theories on delegation, arguing that difficult execution requires founding maniacs, and recounts the extreme volatility of managing hundreds of thousands of retail investors.43:15–49:08 · Molly pushing back 3/10 Fundrise's Origins, Founder Introspection, and the Future of Venture Mega-Funds Molly brings up Marc Andreessen's viral post claiming great founders are not introspective and tracks AUM figures across a16z, Sequoia, and General Catalyst. Ben rejects Andreessen's claim and educates Molly on the concept that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, predicting venture mega-firms will inevitably go public like investment banks.49:08–55:52 · Molly pushing back 2/10 VCX Outro Bumper Molly quotes a PitchBook statistic showing 40% of unicorns have not raised in three years, calling them zombies, and questions macro debt deficits. Ben gently pushes back on the zombie terminology and compares the current venture transition to the extended fallout of the 1980s Savings and Loan crisis.55:52–1:03:11 · Molly pushing back 1/10 AI Economic Impact, White-Collar Job Displacement, and VCX's Long-Term Goals Molly guides the closing segment into broad macroeconomic impacts of AI and long-term societal vision. Ben provides concrete internal data on Fundrise's headcount reduction from 350 to 200 employees via AI adoption and estimates a 20-30% suppression of white-collar jobs across the economy.

speaking balance: gold is Molly, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Molly 28.1% · guest 71.9%0:00 · Molly 28.1% · guest 71.9%3:00 · Molly 3.9% · guest 96.1%3:00 · Molly 3.9% · guest 96.1%6:00 · Molly 8% · guest 92%6:00 · Molly 8% · guest 92%9:00 · Molly 34.1% · guest 65.9%9:00 · Molly 34.1% · guest 65.9%12:00 · Molly 20.2% · guest 79.8%12:00 · Molly 20.2% · guest 79.8%15:00 · Molly 37.1% · guest 62.9%15:00 · Molly 37.1% · guest 62.9%18:00 · Molly 7.1% · guest 92.9%18:00 · Molly 7.1% · guest 92.9%21:00 · Molly 22.1% · guest 77.9%21:00 · Molly 22.1% · guest 77.9%24:00 · Molly 54.4% · guest 45.6%24:00 · Molly 54.4% · guest 45.6%27:00 · Molly 11.3% · guest 88.7%27:00 · Molly 11.3% · guest 88.7%30:00 · Molly 16.6% · guest 83.4%30:00 · Molly 16.6% · guest 83.4%33:00 · Molly 15% · guest 85%33:00 · Molly 15% · guest 85%36:00 · Molly 2.7% · guest 97.3%36:00 · Molly 2.7% · guest 97.3%39:00 · Molly 11% · guest 89%39:00 · Molly 11% · guest 89%42:00 · Molly 4.5% · guest 95.5%42:00 · Molly 4.5% · guest 95.5%45:00 · Molly 31.5% · guest 68.5%45:00 · Molly 31.5% · guest 68.5%48:00 · Molly 62% · guest 38%48:00 · Molly 62% · guest 38%51:00 · Molly 12.2% · guest 87.8%51:00 · Molly 12.2% · guest 87.8%54:00 · Molly 19.8% · guest 80.2%54:00 · Molly 19.8% · guest 80.2%57:00 · Molly 17.7% · guest 82.3%57:00 · Molly 17.7% · guest 82.3%1:00:00 · Molly 6.4% · guest 93.6%1:00:00 · Molly 6.4% · guest 93.6%1:03:00 · Molly 19.6% · guest 80.4%1:03:00 · Molly 19.6% · guest 80.4%1:06:00 · Molly 88.8% · guest 11.2%1:06:00 · Molly 88.8% · guest 11.2%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 14:55 Ben disputes Destiny failure narrative

Ben directly rejects Molly's framing that Destiny's public fund launch went poorly, arguing it actually traded well and raised money successfully despite public controversy.

Hardest push from Molly ▶ 46:25 Molly defends emotional blockers in leadership

Molly challenges Ben's skepticism of Marc Andreessen by asserting that founders must deliberately put on emotional blockers to survive executive stress.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 48:10 Explaining ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny

Ben introduces and defines the biological principle 'ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny' to explain why multi-billion-dollar venture firms are structurally destined to go public.

Molly holds their own ▶ 17:02 Molly lays out private market bifurcation thesis

Molly demonstrates deep industry fluency by citing a16z partner Alex Zimmerman and noting that OpenAI's $110B round constituted one-third of total private tech capital in 2025.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicMolly as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementMolly pushing backWhy
Welcome & The Origin Story of Fundrise VCX 5521 Molly kicks off by asking for the origin story and rationale behind launching VCX now. She demonstrates knowledge of venture secondary dynamics by highlighting how distressed funds sell high-quality assets to generate DPI. Ben elaborates on his board's initial resistance and his contrarian view that venture capitalists are not uniquely gifted.
VCX Public Listing Mechanics, Valuation, and Closed-End Fund Structure 6622 Molly recites the exact portfolio allocations across Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, and SpaceX while asking technical questions about closed-end fund trading mechanics. Ben explains the distinction between open-ended ETFs and closed-end funds, highlighting how VCX broke the historical mold of closed-end funds trading at discounts.
Comparing VCX to Other Public Venture Attempts 4542 Molly prompts Ben to discuss prior public venture attempts like Destiny and Robinhood, framing Destiny as a troubled launch. Ben rejects her premise, arguing that Destiny actually performed well considering its goals, and explains how Robinhood helped normalize public retail venture funds for tech founders.
Private vs. Public Market Bifurcation and the Rise of Public Venture Capital 7622 Molly demonstrates strong domain authority by citing a16z general partner Alex Zimmerman, Coatue, and OpenAI's $110B round representing a third of 2025 tech funding. Ben supports her point with concrete metrics, contrasting the QQQ's 25% weighted average growth against VCX's 193% portfolio growth.
Primary vs. Secondary Capital, IPO Delays, and SaaS Volatility 6532 Molly draws on her interview with Coatue's Thomas Laffont to discuss the SaaS multiple collapse following frontier AI model releases. Ben dismisses the idea that the IPO window is reopening, citing geopolitical conflict and the public markets' volatile repricing of SaaS revenue durability.
Sponsor Segment: Brex 3411 Following sponsor reads, Molly questions how VCX will weather structural downturns and whether its retail investor base is familiar with frontier labs. Ben explains that public venture vehicles are inherently pro-cyclical and notes that many retail customers were unfamiliar with Anthropic prior to recent news cycles.
Value-Add Strategy, Due Diligence, and Underrated Portfolio Holdings 5532 Molly inquires about Fundrise's strategic value-add and mentions relevant tech acquisitions like Brex and Capital One. Ben offers a contrarian reframe by stating that the best value-add is no value-add, advocating for passive long-term capital while illustrating Fundrise's customer distribution partnership with Ramp.
Team Execution, Founder Resilience, and Retail Investor Realities 4531 Molly asks how Fundrise structured the internal team executing VCX and inquires about specific portfolio facilities. Ben dismisses traditional management theories on delegation, arguing that difficult execution requires founding maniacs, and recounts the extreme volatility of managing hundreds of thousands of retail investors.
Fundrise's Origins, Founder Introspection, and the Future of Venture Mega-Funds 6643 Molly brings up Marc Andreessen's viral post claiming great founders are not introspective and tracks AUM figures across a16z, Sequoia, and General Catalyst. Ben rejects Andreessen's claim and educates Molly on the concept that ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny, predicting venture mega-firms will inevitably go public like investment banks.
VCX Outro Bumper 6622 Molly quotes a PitchBook statistic showing 40% of unicorns have not raised in three years, calling them zombies, and questions macro debt deficits. Ben gently pushes back on the zombie terminology and compares the current venture transition to the extended fallout of the 1980s Savings and Loan crisis.
AI Economic Impact, White-Collar Job Displacement, and VCX's Long-Term Goals 4511 Molly guides the closing segment into broad macroeconomic impacts of AI and long-term societal vision. Ben provides concrete internal data on Fundrise's headcount reduction from 350 to 200 employees via AI adoption and estimates a 20-30% suppression of white-collar jobs across the economy.

Statements from this episode (22)

Disclosure
Miller: Fundrise board initially rejected expanding from real estate into tech
“I remember going to my board and saying, we want to expand from real estate into tech and democratize investing into tech. And the board said to me, that's a horrible idea. Should not do that. You guys aren't VC people. You guys don't know how to get access to…”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 2:05
Insight
Miller: Founders create 99% to 100% of business value, not VCs
“Mostly the person who built a business, nine to nine percent is the business builder. Maybe a hundred percent.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 3:25
Opinion
Miller: Universal basic ownership of AI beats universal basic income
“I think democratic ownership is the solution to how we deal with AI. The idea that everyone wants to get, like, universal basic income, I think that's a horrible idea, but universal basic ownership, I feel like that is magic.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 5:26
Assertion Partly supported
Miller: Fundrise venture fund was up 65% over past 12 months
“I think it was up 65% in the last 12 months.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 9:36
Disclosure
Miller: Fundrise acquired secondary tech holdings from distressed funds in 2023
“Some of the companies you named, and I'm not supposed to say which ones we bought from distressed funds who were having to sell in early to mid-twenty-twenty-three.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 13:13
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Public venture fund structures will be adopted across VC within years
“Right now we're novel in a couple of years from now it'll be obvious and everyone will be doing this.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 14:41
Opinion
Miller: Destiny Tech100 performed well overall despite controversy
“I actually think it did go well. I mean, there was some drama around it because they had, I think the, there was some drama with some of their portfolio companies, but ultimately I think it traded well and they raised money at a premium. So like, I don't know …”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 15:16
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Public venture funds will become a multi-hundred-billion-dollar asset class
“I think that it's about creating like a multi hundred billion dollar category where you get millions of people investing in private tech companies and build this bridge between the two sides of the market.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 16:51
Assertion Partly supported
O'Shea: OpenAI's $110B round comprised roughly one-third of 2025 tech funding
“OpenAI just raised a hundred and ten billion dollar round. I think that amounted to about a third of all funding in the private markets for tech in 2025.”
Molly O'Shea Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 17:35
Assertion Partly supported
Miller: VCX Portfolio Grew 193% Last Year Versus 25% for QQQ
“So QQQ, which is like an index of public tech, the weighted average growth rate of public tech companies last year was 25% a year. The weighted average growth rate for our portfolio for VCX was 193%.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 19:21
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Every American will allocate 5% to public VC in 10 years
“I think that like 10 years from now, every single person in America will have five percent of their portfolio in like public venture capital. It'll be totally normal. It'll be like an ETF. It'll be just this thing that's standard and the public capital, so the…”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 20:11
Disclosure
Miller: Fundrise delayed its IPO due to Iran war concerns
“We delayed it a couple of times. I was worried about the war with Iran.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 21:49
What-if
Miller: AI companies would have been decimated if public
“And I think if any of the AI companies have been public, they would have been getting decimated.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 23:42
Insight
Miller: The best venture capital is long-term passive capital without value-add
“The best value add is no value add. My opinion is that you want long-term passive capital, which is what the best capital is. Second best is that is that then you add value.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 31:54
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Loyal will develop the most successful drug in history
“This is going to be the most successful drug in history. And then she's going to go and create the next thing. She's going to create like longevity for humans. I think too.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 37:57
Disclosure
Miller: Fundrise invested in a data center housing a top AI lab
“We invested in a data center. We invested in this world-class, I mean, I can't tell what the tenant is, but it's a top AI lab.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 41:51
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Miller: AI eliminated Fundrise's need to hire support staff for new users
“But we used to have 20 people. We used to have to hire one person for every 30,000 new investors, and now we don't.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 43:05
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller predicts most mega venture firms like a16z will eventually go public
“The nature of these partnerships is eventually they want to monetize and the best way to monetize is go public. This happened in all the investment banks. They've all went public. And so Yeah, I mean, they'll, most of them will eventually go public, and then t…”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 48:26
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Middle East LPs will invest less in VC due to conflict
“I think they'll want to invest less because I think they're going to be trying to like deal with domestic issues. So I think that there's a possibility that we see a downturn coming out of this that, that could shock venture industry.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 51:41
Assertion Supported
O'Shea: PitchBook data shows 40% of unicorns haven't raised in three years
“40% of unicorns have not raised capital in three plus years.”
Molly O'Shea Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 52:48
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller predicts AI will displace 20% to 30% of white-collar jobs
“I think more than 20%, but less than 50. So like let's say 20 to 35 years, 20 to 30% of jobs are Not to, not, not just displaced, but also suppressed. So you don't make that marginal higher and that adds up to tens of millions of jobs.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 58:52
Assertion Partly supported
Miller says Fundrise reduced headcount from 350 to 200 employees
“For us, for sure, we were 350 people. Now we're 200 people. I mean, every, every month we can do more with less people.”
Ben Miller Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 59:18
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