Aug 22, 2025 · 57m · sourcery

How 8VC Builds Billion-Dollar Companies | Palantir, Addepar, Saronic · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Drew Oetting · 42m spoken Molly O'Shea · 8m spoken
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In this episode of Sourcery, host Molly O'Shea interviews Drew Oetting, Founding Partner at 8VC, about the firm's unique incubation engine, 8VC Build, and its strategic thesis on reindustrializing American defense, hardtech, and biomanufacturing infrastructure. Oetting breaks down capital allocation frameworks for physical technology, the operational playbooks behind flagship portfolio companies like Palantir, Saronic, and Resilience, and macro policy levers needed to restore domestic manufacturing.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Molly holds 17.2% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Molly as informed peer 3.4 Guest teaching 3.8 Guest disagreement 0.4 Molly pushing back 0.3
05100:0015:0030:0045:001:04–7:14 · Molly as informed peer 3/10 Welcome and Key Takeaways from Reindustrialize Summit Molly opens the interview at the Reindustrialize Summit and asks Drew about the genesis of 8VC and its internal company building model. Drew provides an in-depth history of how Formation 8 and 8VC evolved their build arm.7:14–12:39 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 The EIR Playbook and Avoiding Touristy Incubation Molly observes the trend of VC funds touristically trying in-house company building during market downturns. Drew elaborates on why most funds fail at this due to misaligned organizational design and internal politics.12:39–18:45 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 Capital Deployment and Check Sizes in Incubated Startups Molly asks Drew to pick his favorite portfolio companies among Palantir, Anduril, OpenGov, Epirus, and Saronic. Drew gently pushes back on choosing favorites before breaking down why OpenGov and Saronic represent significant operational triumphs.18:45–22:05 · Molly as informed peer 2/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex All-in-One Financial Stack Segment includes an ad read for Brex before Drew unpacks what makes Saronic unique in autonomous naval defense and US shipbuilding capacity.22:05–29:04 · Molly as informed peer 3/10 Domestic Biotech Infrastructure and GMP Manufacturing Challenges Molly asks about life sciences and domestic industrial resilience. Drew provides a masterclass on the prohibitive economics of GMP cleanroom facilities, environmental regulatory tradeoffs, and why biopharma manufacturing was outsourced abroad.29:04–33:09 · Molly as informed peer 2/10 Sponsor Segment: Turing Intelligence Enterprise AI Following a sponsor read for Turing, Drew details their incubated CDMO Resilience and analyzes the depressed sentiment in public biotech markets versus AI hype.33:09–39:29 · Molly as informed peer 3/10 Patriotism, Industrial Policy, and Financing Hardtech Startups Molly asks about optimism around industrial policy. Drew delivers an extensive breakdown of why standard government incentives like bonus depreciation fail startups (which lack taxable profits) and why bespoke project financing is essential.39:29–45:51 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 AI in the Physical World and Construction Automation Molly brings up AGI and highlights 8VC's investment in Bedrock Robotics. Drew demystifies sci-fi AGI tropes, arguing AI's near-term superpower is administrative efficiency for physical businesses rather than immediate mechanical labor replacement.45:51–51:38 · Molly as informed peer 4/10 Sponsor Segment: Fourthwall Creator Merch Platform After an ad read, Molly asks about balancing growth versus profitability. Drew explains the stark contrast between software capital allocation and physical infrastructure where massive capex must precede production.51:38–57:15 · Molly as informed peer 5/10 Rapid-Fire Kalshi Predictions: Economics, Space, and Aliens Molly leads a playful rapid-fire Kalshi prediction round quoting market probabilities on GDP, debt, Mars, and alien disclosure. Drew actively engages and bets contrarian on alien disclosure.1:04–7:14 · Guest teaching 3/10 Welcome and Key Takeaways from Reindustrialize Summit Molly opens the interview at the Reindustrialize Summit and asks Drew about the genesis of 8VC and its internal company building model. Drew provides an in-depth history of how Formation 8 and 8VC evolved their build arm.7:14–12:39 · Guest teaching 4/10 The EIR Playbook and Avoiding Touristy Incubation Molly observes the trend of VC funds touristically trying in-house company building during market downturns. Drew elaborates on why most funds fail at this due to misaligned organizational design and internal politics.12:39–18:45 · Guest teaching 3/10 Capital Deployment and Check Sizes in Incubated Startups Molly asks Drew to pick his favorite portfolio companies among Palantir, Anduril, OpenGov, Epirus, and Saronic. Drew gently pushes back on choosing favorites before breaking down why OpenGov and Saronic represent significant operational triumphs.18:45–22:05 · Guest teaching 3/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex All-in-One Financial Stack Segment includes an ad read for Brex before Drew unpacks what makes Saronic unique in autonomous naval defense and US shipbuilding capacity.22:05–29:04 · Guest teaching 5/10 Domestic Biotech Infrastructure and GMP Manufacturing Challenges Molly asks about life sciences and domestic industrial resilience. Drew provides a masterclass on the prohibitive economics of GMP cleanroom facilities, environmental regulatory tradeoffs, and why biopharma manufacturing was outsourced abroad.29:04–33:09 · Guest teaching 4/10 Sponsor Segment: Turing Intelligence Enterprise AI Following a sponsor read for Turing, Drew details their incubated CDMO Resilience and analyzes the depressed sentiment in public biotech markets versus AI hype.33:09–39:29 · Guest teaching 5/10 Patriotism, Industrial Policy, and Financing Hardtech Startups Molly asks about optimism around industrial policy. Drew delivers an extensive breakdown of why standard government incentives like bonus depreciation fail startups (which lack taxable profits) and why bespoke project financing is essential.39:29–45:51 · Guest teaching 4/10 AI in the Physical World and Construction Automation Molly brings up AGI and highlights 8VC's investment in Bedrock Robotics. Drew demystifies sci-fi AGI tropes, arguing AI's near-term superpower is administrative efficiency for physical businesses rather than immediate mechanical labor replacement.45:51–51:38 · Guest teaching 5/10 Sponsor Segment: Fourthwall Creator Merch Platform After an ad read, Molly asks about balancing growth versus profitability. Drew explains the stark contrast between software capital allocation and physical infrastructure where massive capex must precede production.51:38–57:15 · Guest teaching 2/10 Rapid-Fire Kalshi Predictions: Economics, Space, and Aliens Molly leads a playful rapid-fire Kalshi prediction round quoting market probabilities on GDP, debt, Mars, and alien disclosure. Drew actively engages and bets contrarian on alien disclosure.1:04–7:14 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Welcome and Key Takeaways from Reindustrialize Summit Molly opens the interview at the Reindustrialize Summit and asks Drew about the genesis of 8VC and its internal company building model. Drew provides an in-depth history of how Formation 8 and 8VC evolved their build arm.7:14–12:39 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The EIR Playbook and Avoiding Touristy Incubation Molly observes the trend of VC funds touristically trying in-house company building during market downturns. Drew elaborates on why most funds fail at this due to misaligned organizational design and internal politics.12:39–18:45 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Capital Deployment and Check Sizes in Incubated Startups Molly asks Drew to pick his favorite portfolio companies among Palantir, Anduril, OpenGov, Epirus, and Saronic. Drew gently pushes back on choosing favorites before breaking down why OpenGov and Saronic represent significant operational triumphs.18:45–22:05 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex All-in-One Financial Stack Segment includes an ad read for Brex before Drew unpacks what makes Saronic unique in autonomous naval defense and US shipbuilding capacity.22:05–29:04 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Domestic Biotech Infrastructure and GMP Manufacturing Challenges Molly asks about life sciences and domestic industrial resilience. Drew provides a masterclass on the prohibitive economics of GMP cleanroom facilities, environmental regulatory tradeoffs, and why biopharma manufacturing was outsourced abroad.29:04–33:09 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Turing Intelligence Enterprise AI Following a sponsor read for Turing, Drew details their incubated CDMO Resilience and analyzes the depressed sentiment in public biotech markets versus AI hype.33:09–39:29 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Patriotism, Industrial Policy, and Financing Hardtech Startups Molly asks about optimism around industrial policy. Drew delivers an extensive breakdown of why standard government incentives like bonus depreciation fail startups (which lack taxable profits) and why bespoke project financing is essential.39:29–45:51 · Guest disagreement 1/10 AI in the Physical World and Construction Automation Molly brings up AGI and highlights 8VC's investment in Bedrock Robotics. Drew demystifies sci-fi AGI tropes, arguing AI's near-term superpower is administrative efficiency for physical businesses rather than immediate mechanical labor replacement.45:51–51:38 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Fourthwall Creator Merch Platform After an ad read, Molly asks about balancing growth versus profitability. Drew explains the stark contrast between software capital allocation and physical infrastructure where massive capex must precede production.51:38–57:15 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Rapid-Fire Kalshi Predictions: Economics, Space, and Aliens Molly leads a playful rapid-fire Kalshi prediction round quoting market probabilities on GDP, debt, Mars, and alien disclosure. Drew actively engages and bets contrarian on alien disclosure.1:04–7:14 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Welcome and Key Takeaways from Reindustrialize Summit Molly opens the interview at the Reindustrialize Summit and asks Drew about the genesis of 8VC and its internal company building model. Drew provides an in-depth history of how Formation 8 and 8VC evolved their build arm.7:14–12:39 · Molly pushing back 1/10 The EIR Playbook and Avoiding Touristy Incubation Molly observes the trend of VC funds touristically trying in-house company building during market downturns. Drew elaborates on why most funds fail at this due to misaligned organizational design and internal politics.12:39–18:45 · Molly pushing back 1/10 Capital Deployment and Check Sizes in Incubated Startups Molly asks Drew to pick his favorite portfolio companies among Palantir, Anduril, OpenGov, Epirus, and Saronic. Drew gently pushes back on choosing favorites before breaking down why OpenGov and Saronic represent significant operational triumphs.18:45–22:05 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Brex All-in-One Financial Stack Segment includes an ad read for Brex before Drew unpacks what makes Saronic unique in autonomous naval defense and US shipbuilding capacity.22:05–29:04 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Domestic Biotech Infrastructure and GMP Manufacturing Challenges Molly asks about life sciences and domestic industrial resilience. Drew provides a masterclass on the prohibitive economics of GMP cleanroom facilities, environmental regulatory tradeoffs, and why biopharma manufacturing was outsourced abroad.29:04–33:09 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Turing Intelligence Enterprise AI Following a sponsor read for Turing, Drew details their incubated CDMO Resilience and analyzes the depressed sentiment in public biotech markets versus AI hype.33:09–39:29 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Patriotism, Industrial Policy, and Financing Hardtech Startups Molly asks about optimism around industrial policy. Drew delivers an extensive breakdown of why standard government incentives like bonus depreciation fail startups (which lack taxable profits) and why bespoke project financing is essential.39:29–45:51 · Molly pushing back 0/10 AI in the Physical World and Construction Automation Molly brings up AGI and highlights 8VC's investment in Bedrock Robotics. Drew demystifies sci-fi AGI tropes, arguing AI's near-term superpower is administrative efficiency for physical businesses rather than immediate mechanical labor replacement.45:51–51:38 · Molly pushing back 0/10 Sponsor Segment: Fourthwall Creator Merch Platform After an ad read, Molly asks about balancing growth versus profitability. Drew explains the stark contrast between software capital allocation and physical infrastructure where massive capex must precede production.51:38–57:15 · Molly pushing back 1/10 Rapid-Fire Kalshi Predictions: Economics, Space, and Aliens Molly leads a playful rapid-fire Kalshi prediction round quoting market probabilities on GDP, debt, Mars, and alien disclosure. Drew actively engages and bets contrarian on alien disclosure.

speaking balance: gold is Molly, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Molly 21.5% · guest 78.5%0:00 · Molly 21.5% · guest 78.5%3:00 · Molly 12.5% · guest 87.5%3:00 · Molly 12.5% · guest 87.5%6:00 · Molly 4.1% · guest 95.9%6:00 · Molly 4.1% · guest 95.9%9:00 · Molly 23.3% · guest 76.7%9:00 · Molly 23.3% · guest 76.7%12:00 · Molly 39.2% · guest 60.8%12:00 · Molly 39.2% · guest 60.8%15:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Molly 34.9% · guest 65.1%18:00 · Molly 34.9% · guest 65.1%21:00 · Molly 12.1% · guest 87.9%21:00 · Molly 12.1% · guest 87.9%24:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%24:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%27:00 · Molly 22.4% · guest 77.6%27:00 · Molly 22.4% · guest 77.6%30:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%30:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%33:00 · Molly 5.8% · guest 94.2%33:00 · Molly 5.8% · guest 94.2%36:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%36:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%39:00 · Molly 20.3% · guest 79.7%39:00 · Molly 20.3% · guest 79.7%42:00 · Molly 7.6% · guest 92.4%42:00 · Molly 7.6% · guest 92.4%45:00 · Molly 33.8% · guest 66.2%45:00 · Molly 33.8% · guest 66.2%48:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%48:00 · Molly 0% · guest 100%51:00 · Molly 48.4% · guest 51.6%51:00 · Molly 48.4% · guest 51.6%54:00 · Molly 32% · guest 68%54:00 · Molly 32% · guest 68%57:00 · Molly 79.4% · guest 20.6%57:00 · Molly 79.4% · guest 20.6%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 40:06 Dismissing omnipotent AGI talk as theology

Drew firmly rejects common tech hype framing around omnipotent AGI, dismissing it as essentially a religious discussion rather than practical engineering.

Hardest push from Molly ▶ 14:02 Molly presses Drew to pick favorite portfolio companies

Molly challenges Drew to pick favorites among 8VC's prominent investments, playfully noting everyone hates the question when Drew tries to evade it.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 35:15 Drew details why tax incentives fail venture hardtech startups

Drew educates listeners and the host on structural corporate tax dynamics, explaining why tools like bonus depreciation only help legacy incumbents like Boeing rather than unprofitable C-corps.

Molly holds their own ▶ 52:10 Molly cites exact Kalshi resolution criteria and GDP data

When Drew asks how Kalshi defines manufacturing GDP growth, Molly instantly reads out the fine print benchmarks and current baseline stats.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicMolly as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementMolly pushing backWhy
Welcome and Key Takeaways from Reindustrialize Summit 3300 Molly opens the interview at the Reindustrialize Summit and asks Drew about the genesis of 8VC and its internal company building model. Drew provides an in-depth history of how Formation 8 and 8VC evolved their build arm.
The EIR Playbook and Avoiding Touristy Incubation 4411 Molly observes the trend of VC funds touristically trying in-house company building during market downturns. Drew elaborates on why most funds fail at this due to misaligned organizational design and internal politics.
Capital Deployment and Check Sizes in Incubated Startups 4311 Molly asks Drew to pick his favorite portfolio companies among Palantir, Anduril, OpenGov, Epirus, and Saronic. Drew gently pushes back on choosing favorites before breaking down why OpenGov and Saronic represent significant operational triumphs.
Sponsor Segment: Brex All-in-One Financial Stack 2300 Segment includes an ad read for Brex before Drew unpacks what makes Saronic unique in autonomous naval defense and US shipbuilding capacity.
Domestic Biotech Infrastructure and GMP Manufacturing Challenges 3500 Molly asks about life sciences and domestic industrial resilience. Drew provides a masterclass on the prohibitive economics of GMP cleanroom facilities, environmental regulatory tradeoffs, and why biopharma manufacturing was outsourced abroad.
Sponsor Segment: Turing Intelligence Enterprise AI 2400 Following a sponsor read for Turing, Drew details their incubated CDMO Resilience and analyzes the depressed sentiment in public biotech markets versus AI hype.
Patriotism, Industrial Policy, and Financing Hardtech Startups 3500 Molly asks about optimism around industrial policy. Drew delivers an extensive breakdown of why standard government incentives like bonus depreciation fail startups (which lack taxable profits) and why bespoke project financing is essential.
AI in the Physical World and Construction Automation 4410 Molly brings up AGI and highlights 8VC's investment in Bedrock Robotics. Drew demystifies sci-fi AGI tropes, arguing AI's near-term superpower is administrative efficiency for physical businesses rather than immediate mechanical labor replacement.
Sponsor Segment: Fourthwall Creator Merch Platform 4500 After an ad read, Molly asks about balancing growth versus profitability. Drew explains the stark contrast between software capital allocation and physical infrastructure where massive capex must precede production.
Rapid-Fire Kalshi Predictions: Economics, Space, and Aliens 5211 Molly leads a playful rapid-fire Kalshi prediction round quoting market probabilities on GDP, debt, Mars, and alien disclosure. Drew actively engages and bets contrarian on alien disclosure.

Statements from this episode (26)

Insight
Oetting: Reindustrialization Requires Unprecedented Government and Startup Collaboration
“And I think that it's probably the biggest reality of this reindustrialization concept, I think is that it's going to require the federal government and some state governments and startup companies to interact in a way that is probably hasn't happened in a lon…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 1:30
Insight
Oetting: Building a University Is a Startup Without Profit Upside
“Building a new university. It's like starting a super complex startup, but there's no like profit, you know, dream at the end of it.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 2:36
Disclosure
Oetting: 30% of 8VC's deployed capital goes to internally co-founded companies
“It's now 30% of what we do. All of our capital employees and, you know, 30% of it goes into companies we co-founded.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 6:58
Assertion Supported
Oetting: 8VC has co-founded over two dozen companies over past decade
“And I think Joe and I and the rest of the EPC crew have probably done over two dozen at this point over the last, you know, decade or so.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 7:05
Disclosure
Oetting: 8VC employs three to six full-time EIRs to incubate startups
“The predominant way now is that we have a group of three or six EIRs at any time that are, you know, they're full-time employees at APC, but they're working only on sort of the process of either coming to an idea or getting it ready to kind of launch.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 7:29
Insight
Oetting: Over-refining startup concepts makes them less appealing to top founders
“I think also top founders, like, they want to have They want an idea to be theirs, at least to some extent. And so if you over refine the idea, then it can become less interesting to a founder who wants to, you know, take it, you know, put their own, kind of p…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 8:27
Insight
Oetting: Combining investing and incubation fails without intentional culture and incentives
“I think the thing that's underappreciated is how much your organization has to be designed intentionally to make to balance this sort of dichotomy of starting companies and investing in them. There, there's definitely some overlap, but I think if you don't int…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 9:52
Opinion
Oetting: Sutter Hill has done venture incubation better than anyone
“I mean, Sutter Hill has done this better than anyone.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 12:03
Disclosure
Oetting: 8VC Writes Initial Incubation Checks Between $3M and $40M
“The initial check size for us is like, it's probably three to four million on the small side and maybe 25 to 30 or 40 the bigger side.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 13:07
Opinion
Oetting: OpenGov's ~$2B exit rivals Palantir on a relative basis
“On a relative basis, like, I think having like a nearly two billion dollar exit for state and local Government software is like probably equivalent to like a Palantir type outcome or something.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 15:36
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Oetting: Saronic employees work in person six days a week
“They also work six days a week in person, which is pretty cool.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 18:28
Opinion
Oetting: The US has fallen behind most in shipbuilding capacity
“Figuring out how to build ships in the United States again, which is an area that we probably have, you know, the fallen behind the most. In terms of our capacity. And that's on the defense side, but also on the commercial side as well.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 21:27
Assertion Supported
Oetting: Saronic acquired and is retrofitting an old shipyard
“They bought a, an old shipyard you know, and they're retrofitting that, but then they're, they have much bigger plans too.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 21:55
Assertion Partly supported
Oetting: Drug developers ignore manufacturing efficiency due to 90%+ margins
“Part of that's because if you're successful, it's, you know, like a 99% margin business. So if you can do it, if you're really bad and it's an 89% margin, who cares?”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 23:14
Insight
Oetting: Life science GMP facilities carry immense fixed costs regardless of utilization
“In life science, these facilities are incredibly expensive. They require huge amounts of labor that needs to be there, whether there's a commercial project or not. Because you're a GMP manufacturing facility, you can't have, you know, mold accumulating. If you…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 24:33
Insight
Oetting: Pharma companies resist new manufacturing tech to protect approved drugs
“Pharma companies are rationally incredibly averse to switching their process because they've already, you know, they make tons of investments or acquisitions across all these different sort of binary bets. You get one that works, you don't want to have to go d…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 26:48
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oetting: Genomic medicine will transform economy and lives almost as much as AI
“I think there's going to be almost as much of a change in, like, the way that our economy and our lives work from genomic medicines as from AI.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 32:39
Insight
Oetting: Bonus depreciation tax incentives fail to help venture-backed startups
“Bonus depreciation is awesome. If you're Boeing, It's awesome if you're a real estate developer. And that's great, but it doesn't do anything for a startup because they're a C Corp. So it doesn't pass through their investors. They have plenty of net operating …”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 35:43
Disclosure
Oetting: 8VC companies Resilience and Saronic will manufacture exclusively in US
“We're not going to build our, you know, our fill finish facility in any other country at Resilience. We are 100%, we're more than 100% all in, in that facility, right? Cerronek's not going to go build ports in, you know, some random tax haven place just becaus…”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 38:54
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oetting: AI will drive massive 20-year productivity boom for physical businesses
“I think it's gonna be a massive productivity gain, at least for the next 20 years. If you're like, you run a construction company, or you have an HVAC business. Because right now you're paying some person 50 grand to make your website. Like that's done.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 42:40
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oetting: Trade labor robotics is much further off than software automation
“Maybe robotics will get there and there'll be, you know, a real sort of conflict between, you know, whatever robot can do electrical work and electricians. But I think that's much farther off than you know, automating low-level web design.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 43:38
Insight
Oetting: 'Build It And They Will Come' Is Bad Hardtech Strategy
“Well, like with resilience, one thing we learned, which is going to sound very obvious, but you know, early on, we took a little bit of like, if we build it, they'll come strategy. That's a bad idea. It's much better to buy or invest in a facility alongside a …”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 49:02
Opinion
Oetting: Growth Hardtech Needs Risk-Tolerant Infrastructure Project Financing
“There's a big gap between using venture capital and the private credit markets that are more traditional and sort of profit oriented. And there really needs to be an basically infrastructure financing or project financing for growth stage businesses. That's a …”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 50:31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Oetting: Trump Will Boost US Manufacturing Share, But Under 13.1% GDP
“I think that the Trump administration will bring, will make a big dent on that, that will improve, but I don't think it'll hit 13.1%.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 52:39
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oetting: AI Productivity Will Substantially Mitigate US Debt in 20–30 Years
“I believe over the next 20 or 30 years it will make a huge difference. Yes. I just think in the short run, there's investments that need to be made to realize that. And I think that, you know, the way that our system deals with that is by adding to the debt.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 54:44
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Oetting: A Human Will Be on Mars by 2050
“I would say we'll be on Mars by 20 50. I don't think we would, I mean, colonized maybe is like, depends what that means, but I think there will be a human on Mars by 20 50.”
Drew Oetting Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 55:16
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