Kalshi, every mention

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every year anyone Molly O'Shea 150Tarek Mansoor 28Chris Josephs 8Alfred Lin 5Michael Mignano 2Alex Bouaziz 2Paul Klein 1Jack Altman 1Ben Miller 1

Verbatim, from the transcripts: the passages where Kalshi comes up

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The Public Venture Fund That 9x’d in 3 Days (Fundrise VCX) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Mar 30, 2026 · 1 mention

Deel Hits $1.4B+ in ARR | CEO Alex Bouaziz Shares Growth Playbook · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Mar 17, 2026 · 5 mentions

Inside a16z Growth: Waymo, Stripe, ElevenLabs, Revolut, Coinbase, Kalshi · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Mar 13, 2026 · 17 mentions

Sequoia’s Alfred Lin: $10T Companies Are Coming · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Mar 9, 2026 · 2 mentions

  • ▶ 24:54 Molly O'Shea You have a portfolio of a very wide range of companies from Citadel Securities to Airbnb, Nominal, Clay, Calci, Commure, and more.
  • ▶ 28:43 Alfred Lin I wrote four memos and got four no's for a Kaoshi investment.

How Anthropic’s $100M Anthology Fund Works | Menlo Ventures · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Feb 5, 2026 · 1 mention

CEO Vlad Tenev on Robinhood's Record Year (+200%, ~$100B Market Cap) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jan 10, 2026 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 17:19 Molly O'Shea At least what I've seen, um, working with Kalshi over the last year on some things, they were a sponsor.

Why Lightspeed Bet on xAI, Neuralink, Suno, Granola, & Pika | Michael Mignano · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Dec 27, 2025 · 3 mentions

Inside General Catalyst’s $1.5B AI Roll-Up Machine · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Dec 5, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 34:59 Molly O'Shea Calci had a market that it hit up to like, 86%, I haven't checked it recently, on layoffs in tech, and that there's going to be an 86% chance that there's going to be more layoffs this year than in twenty-twenty-four.

Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Nov 24, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 48:58 Molly O'Shea Cal she recently had a chart out, um, that was up to 86% thought we would have more layoffs this year in tech than in twenty-twenty-four.

$635M Exit → $600M Fund: David Ulevitch on Building a16z’s Hottest New Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Nov 21, 2025 · 3 mentions

  • ▶ 25:52 Molly O'Shea A-sixty and Z actually was participating in Calci's recent round, so they just raised three hundred million out of five billion dollar, which probably is outdated at this point because they're, I think they reached over fifty billion in… 3 times in the scene

Sequoia’s Alfred Lin: Backing Founders Who Redefine Markets · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 30, 2025 · 3 mentions

Alfred Lin, Inside Sequoia: Launching $200M Seed Fund & $750M Venture Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 27, 2025 · 27 mentions

Incubating Brain Co: Elad Gil’s AI Bet with Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 20, 2025 · 2 mentions

Inside The $2.2B AI Research Accelerator | Turing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 10, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 32:06 Molly O'Shea Cal, she actually has a market out on this of will models pause research for safety reasons.

Base Power Raises $1B led by Addition, with Trust Ventures, Lightspeed, a16z, Altimeter, Elad Gil · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 8, 2025 · 1 mention

CEOs of Epirus & Galvanick on the Future of Defense & Cybersecurity · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 5, 2025 · 1 mention

Joby, Dirac & Allen Control: The Future of Air, AI Factories & Defense Tech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Oct 5, 2025 · 2 mentions

  • ▶ 41:47 Molly O'Shea As we wrap up, there's one juicy calcium market that I need to talk to you about, because this number is not good. 2 times in the scene

Keith Rabois: Lessons from PayPal Mafia, $OPEN, & Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Sep 19, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 22:30 Molly O'Shea So there's a calcium market that aliens, do you think aliens will, will, uh, will say that aliens exist this year?

Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Sep 10, 2025 · 4 mentions

  • ▶ 1:46:27 Molly O'Shea It was funny, I tweeted out this Calci market, which currently has before 20, 27 at 18%, 2030 at 30%, 2035 at 45%, and before 2040 at 55%. 4 times in the scene

Apple in China: Tim Cook’s $275B Pledge | Patrick McGee · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Sep 1, 2025 · 1 mention

Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 27, 2025 · 6 mentions

  • ▶ 18:02 Molly O'Shea I use Cowshoe Markets within these conversations, and one of my favorite ones to ask is, what do you think the best AI will be this month?
  • ▶ 29:46 Molly O'Shea I obviously love Kalshi, but I was watching the Kalshi chart on this for best AI of the month. 3 times in the scene
  • ▶ 44:55 Molly O'Shea These are companies like Kalshi.
  • ▶ 55:45 Molly O'Shea So these are all based on Kalshi's recent IPO charts.

How 8VC Builds Billion-Dollar Companies | Palantir, Addepar, Saronic · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 22, 2025 · 1 mention

Raising a Trust Fund With Marc Andreessen & Paris Hilton | Sophia Amoruso · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 18, 2025 · 3 mentions

  • ▶ 50:08 Molly O'Shea Okay, so as we move into the final round, we're now going to go through the Kalshi predictions. 3 times in the scene

Rainmaker’s Secret AI Plan for Superintelligent Weather | Cloud Seeding · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 15, 2025 · 4 mentions

How The Rarest Company On Earth Raised $75M from Altimeter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 11, 2025 · 1 mention

Nuclear Race to Power Superintelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Aug 8, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 21:41 Molly O'Shea Kelsey has a market out right now that there's currently a 13% chance that the US grants a new license for a nuclear reactor.

Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 30, 2025 · 1 mention

  • ▶ 28:26 Molly O'Shea I want to ask you one of the questions that has to do with one of the executive orders on calcium markets.

How Vise Became a Unicorn With Just 40 Employees · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 25, 2025 · 2 mentions

  • ▶ 55:03 Molly O'Shea Well, to top that off, we're gonna bring in some Kalshi predictions and really put your money where your mouth is. 2 times in the scene

Nat Friedman Leads $15M in Superintelligence Insurance Company | AIUC · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 23, 2025 · 3 mentions

  • ▶ 30:01 Molly O'Shea CalShe has a market on this, and it's like, I think the last time I checked, it was like, 25%. 3 times in the scene

Inside Hadrian's $260M Series C to Advance Manufacturing in America · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 18, 2025 · 4 mentions

  • ▶ 25:57 Molly O'Shea Um, this is a hot topic question and I'm really curious about your response on it, but on Calci, there's currently an 18% chance that Trump brings back manufacturing in the US. 3 times in the scene
  • ▶ 29:06 Molly O'Shea Cal she has as Q three, 20, 25.

Brex’s Road to IPO and The Golden Age of M&A · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 10, 2025 · 1 mention

Why a16z Bet $15 Million on THIS Controversial Startup · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jul 3, 2025 · 11 mentions

  • ▶ 1:01:26 Molly O'Shea There are a couple critical questions that Kalshi suggests with these, and they have them in their markets. 10 times in the scene
  • ▶ 1:05:08 Molly O'Shea So as we formally go into the Kalashie predictions market now, let's do a couple of clearly ones.

How Jack Altman Hit 100x Growth | Uncapped, AI, VC, Founders · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jun 27, 2025 · 5 mentions

Cluely Raises $15 Million From a16z | Roy Lee, Founder & CEO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jun 20, 2025 · 5 mentions

How Browserbase Raised $67.5M to Power AI Agents & Vibe Coders · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jun 17, 2025 · 6 mentions

  • ▶ 3:41 Paul Klein So to break it all down, if you're building some sort of cool new software, some AI agent that's going to go to, uh, Calci's website and place a wager, um, you're gonna need to say, hey, AI, go to this website, find the appropriate bet,…
  • ▶ 27:57 Molly O'Shea This goes into the topic of regulation and Cal, she has a really interesting 2 times in the scene
  • ▶ 49:25 Molly O'Shea Uh, our final segment is with Calci. 3 times in the scene

Nucleus Launches First Genetically Optimized Embryo · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Jun 4, 2025 · 3 mentions

  • ▶ 31:30 Molly O'Shea I know you have lots of opinions on things, so while you're here, not to make too hard of a pivot, but I want to get your opinion on a couple of these Kalshi sheets. 3 times in the scene

How Whop Is Making $1.2+ Billion For Creators · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea May 23, 2025 · 3 mentions

  • ▶ 50:04 Molly O'Shea Well, I love wrapping up with these outlooks, and I also love wrapping up with predictions, so I want to go to Kalshi and just go through a couple different topics and get your opinion on them. 3 times in the scene

How Altimeter's $10B AUM Fund Is Investing In Aerospace, Defense, & Hardtech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea May 16, 2025 · 1 mention

Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Apr 18, 2025 · 9 mentions

  • ▶ 20:49 Molly O'Shea Another fun fact that I learned, uh, because we had Tarek Mansoor of, uh, Calcheon, is that commodity derivatives, uh, is technically, like, not illegal.
  • ▶ 53:05 Chris Josephs They launched, uh, the, with Tarek from CalShare, they launched, um, Prediction Markets. 5 times in the scene
  • ▶ 55:38 Chris Josephs They're essentially rebuilding trust in media, where it's like, okay, you're telling me that XYZ is gonna happen, let me go look on Kalshi, and if Kalshi 3 times in the scene

How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Feb 28, 2025 · 50 mentions

  • ▶ 0:30 Tarek Mansoor When you don't know what's happening anymore, you can go to CalShay and see the, like, the charts move in real time.
  • ▶ 0:52 Molly O'Shea So it's February, and January 15th, you signed a new advisor to Kalshi. 3 times in the scene
  • ▶ 4:55 Tarek Mansoor What he is helping us 6 times in the scene
  • ▶ 6:46 Tarek Mansoor Like, I think that, you know, we, we just announced, so because the way I describe, so Calshi has two business, business models, um, and it's a very, it's pretty typical for exchanges. 7 times in the scene
  • ▶ 9:57 Tarek Mansoor Uh, and it was, it was cool, it was decentralized, and actually people don't know, like, we, we, first two weeks of Calcio, we actually started on-chain.
  • ▶ 15:22 Molly O'Shea I will admit I used Kalshi. 10 times in the scene
  • ▶ 20:23 Tarek Mansoor I think like, uh, it's interesting also that like, there's a lot of interest in, I mean, this is the thing that excites me about Kalshi is, you know, one of our fastest growing segments 5 times in the scene
  • ▶ 25:03 Molly O'Shea You're not allowed to, to use your platform, right? 2 times in the scene
  • ▶ 26:02 Molly O'Shea Going back to the start of founding Kalshi, um, what was the, what's the difference between Equity Exotics and consumer trading, retail trading?
  • ▶ 30:46 Tarek Mansoor We have demand. 3 times in the scene
  • ▶ 36:24 Molly O'Shea How do you keep those consumers engaged after their first initial introduction to the company? 2 times in the scene
  • ▶ 37:26 Molly O'Shea I will say, I was reading through the Kalshi blog, and it's hilarious. 4 times in the scene
  • ▶ 37:31 Tarek Mansoor Kalshi ideas.
  • ▶ 43:08 Tarek Mansoor Oh, we're like, we're like, so we are an SRO. 3 times in the scene
  • ▶ 52:58 Tarek Mansoor Like, if you've been reading some of the comments, like, it's actually really fun to be on, uh, uh, on, we had this thing called Kalshi Ideas, which is like Twitter, but you have to have a position.
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