Taiwan

6 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jun 1, 2023 by Brian Schimpf · said 11 times in 6 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Brian Schimpf (4), Elad Gil (2), Dylan Patel (2), Jacob Helberg (1), Emil Michael (1), Dan Hendrycks (1)

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0232023202420252026episodes it came up in
0021.5432023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 1 mention in 1 episode
2025 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2024 2 mentions in 1 episode
2023 4 mentions in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Taiwan, oldest first

Jun 1, 2023 neutral
What-if
Schimpf: Ukraine would 100% strike deep into Russia if given tools
“You know, you don't want necessarily to give Taiwan the ability to strike deep into mainland China, that Ukrainians would a hundred percent be doing that if we gave them tools to do that into Russia.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 45:22 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
Jun 1, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Schimpf: Autonomous Defense Tech Makes Invading Taiwan Immensely Hard
“It actually really favors the defender. Now, if you can operate in this new way it would be immensely hard for any sort of successful invasion of, you know, Taiwan to actually play out because of You know, what we've learned and what we've seen and how the US …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 12:51 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
Mar 7, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Japan may emerge as a key semiconductor manufacturing hedge against Taiwan
“And so I'm increasingly wondering whether Japan emerges as sort of a second source location and part to geopolitically hedge Taiwan.”
Elad Gil Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 35:21 No Priors Ep. 54 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Mar 5, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Extreme AI export controls make a Taiwan invasion more likely
“If you turn the pain dial all the way up for China in export controls and if AI chips are the currency of economic power in the future, then this increases the probability that they want to invade Taiwan.”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 9:18 No Priors Ep. 105 | With Director of the Center of AI Safety Dan Hendrycks
Aug 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Patel: Huawei Obtains TSMC Wafers via Shell Companies
“Huawei is still getting you know, wafers in Taiwan from TSMC through, like, shell companies, right?”
Dylan Patel Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 40:19 No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel
Aug 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Helberg: US relies 90% on Chinese minerals and Taiwanese semiconductors
“We have 90% reliance on critical minerals that are refined in China, on semiconductors that are manufactured in Taiwan.”
Jacob Helberg Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 1:10 No Priors Ep. 129 | With U.S. Under Secretary of State (E) Designate Jacob Helberg
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