LLMs

39 statements across 24 episodes · 19 bullish · 3 bearish · 24 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2023 by Sridhar Ramaswamy · across every show →

Everything said about LLMs, oldest first

Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Prediction Held up
Ramaswamy Predicts Major Platforms Will Allow Indexing but Block LLM Scrapers
“I think what is going to happen is that some of the larger content creators, you know, I would put people like Reddit and Quora. These are some of the forward thinking ones very much in that bucket. They're going to say, we want to be part of search, but we do…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 28:43 No Priors Ep. 8 | With Neeva’s Sridhar Ramaswamy
Apr 25, 2023 bullish
Insight
Ramaswamy: LLMs Can Replace Massive Click Data for Core Search Tasks
“We realized that a lot of problems that Google solved with massive scale and user data, they could, in fact, solve with LLMs. So we use a lot of them for things like query rewriting.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 20:45 No Priors Ep. 8 | With Neeva’s Sridhar Ramaswamy
Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Usefulness Strongly Limits Answerable Questions in AI Search
“At this point, I don't feel that there's like a natural limit to how much LLMs can be used with search. I do feel, however, that there's a very strong limit to how many questions can be usefully answered.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 11:47 No Priors Ep. 8 | With Neeva’s Sridhar Ramaswamy
Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Optimizing for LLMs is unlikely to be as easy as keyword SEO
“It's unlikely that it's as easy as SEO with just keywords because LLMs are going to be much smarter in understanding relevance to a query.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 29:32 No Priors Ep. 9 | With Perplexity AI’s Aravind Srinivas and Denis Yarats
Apr 25, 2023 positive
Insight
Aravind Srinivas argues AI application builders understand LLMs better than trainers
“The people who use the LLMs for building stuff, Understand it better than the people who actually did gradient descent and train these models.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 10:15 No Priors Ep. 9 | With Perplexity AI’s Aravind Srinivas and Denis Yarats
Apr 25, 2023
Insight
Yarats: Perplexity prefers raw drive over extensive experience when hiring
“Personally, I would rather like get somebody who has this Burning desire to work on these things rather than somebody who already has a lot of experience and not going to put a lot of, or like as much effort as other people.”
Denis Yarats Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 5:17 No Priors Ep. 9 | With Perplexity AI’s Aravind Srinivas and Denis Yarats
Jun 1, 2023
Insight
Schimpf: Bounding non-deterministic AI is essential for military tech adoption
“A lot of these areas that are more non-deterministic, so, you know, things like reinforcement learning or, you know, potential applications of LOMs into the space, they are inherently non-deterministic, and that is a risk. And so kind of quantifying that, know…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 20:05 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
Jun 15, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pomel: Real production use cases for LLMs will likely arrive within a year
“We might have liftoff probably in the next year or so with real production use cases, because right now most of the stuff is still not production. It's still demo ware and, you know, Private beta and that sort of stuff.”
Olivier Pomel Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 35:41 No Priors Ep. 21 | With Datadog Co-founder/CEO Olivier Pomel
Jun 15, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pomel: Chatbots may not be how users interact with AI in two years
“It's possible that some of the things we've seen with LLMs, you know, where, you know, all of a sudden everything's a chat bot. It's possible that it's not the way people want to interact with everything, you know, two years from now.”
Olivier Pomel Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 10:58 No Priors Ep. 21 | With Datadog Co-founder/CEO Olivier Pomel
Aug 3, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Biewald: There Are More Funded LLM Tools Than Production LLM Apps
“Very, very few people have LLMs in production. Like there's probably more companies that have raised money as like LLM tools than companies that have LLMs in production, which is like insane. It's just like an insanely saturated tools market with very few peop…”
Lukas Biewald Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 22:24 No Priors Ep. 26 | With Weights & Biases CEO Lukas Biewald
Aug 3, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Big Enterprises Need 1-2 Years To Deploy LLMs Into Production
“And the big enterprises are going to take another year or two because it's, they're just in their planning cycle still around this stuff. They just started really thinking about it and how to incorporate it and what to use it for. And then they're going to hav…”
Elad Gil Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 25:02 No Priors Ep. 26 | With Weights & Biases CEO Lukas Biewald
Aug 3, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Biewald: Most Modern LLMs Were Built Using Weights And Biases
“And we actually helped most of the LLMs out there were built using weights and biases.”
Lukas Biewald Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 18:10 No Priors Ep. 26 | With Weights & Biases CEO Lukas Biewald
Aug 24, 2023 bullish
Insight
Uszkoreit: Training on synthetic data works by amortizing generation compute
“And ironically, and this comes back to a question that many people ask, I think around, does it make any sense to train on generated data? Because information theory, family information theory, very clearly says, nope, you're not going to get more information …”
Jakob Uszkoreit Aug 24, 2023 ▶ 9:24 No Priors Ep. 29 | With Inceptive CEO Jakob Uszkoreit
Oct 26, 2023
Insight
Noon: Startups Embed LLMs Deeply While Fortune 500s Run Science Projects
“Kind of the growthy companies with the nerdy founders, like immediately started integrating this into the product. Right. And then the like youngish public companies that like totally still got it. You know, would do like a thinner feature a little bit later, …”
Ryan Noon Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 25:05 No Priors Ep. 38 | With Material Security Co-Founder Ryan Noon
Oct 26, 2023 bullish
Insight
Noon: LLMs excel at filtering noise in raw cybersecurity operations
“There's a lot of just raw operational work that happens in security of just like, we need to, you know, rarefy this signal, filter out the noise, and then honestly feed it through a human being who has some experience as to what the bad guys are trying to do. …”
Ryan Noon Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 6:11 No Priors Ep. 38 | With Material Security Co-Founder Ryan Noon
Nov 30, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: More Startups Will Train Custom Diffusion Models than LLMs
“And so you can actually imagine that in the language world, you're going to have a lot more platforms that people build on in the diffusion model world image, video, et cetera, you're going to have more people kind of grow their own.”
Elad Gil Nov 30, 2023 ▶ 13:48 No Priors Ep. 42 | With Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
Jan 31, 2024
Insight
Coates: AI agents reach 75% in 10 minutes, but 95% is brutal
“Well, look, I mean, I think the exciting and frustrating thing about LLMs right now is that you can get an LLM like agent thing, like a sidekick-esque thing. You can get it to like 75% in like 10 minutes. And then it's like this brutal hill climb to get it to,…”
Glen Coates Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 26:14 No Priors Ep. 49 | With Shopify VP of Core Product Glen Coates
Feb 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sands: LLMs Will Automate Bespoke Financial Integrations Without Payments Engineers
“I think there's almost certainly an opportunity to, you know, whether Stripe does it or somebody else does it, to make sort of financial integrations way more seamless. Stripe has a whole suite of no code products, so you can use, ah, you know, payment links o…”
Emily Glassberg Sands Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 23:44 No Priors Ep. 50 | With Stripe Head of Information Emily Glassberg Sands
Feb 8, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Sands: Stripe Operates Four Dedicated AI Incubator Teams
“It's four of them today. And should it be six or should it be eight or should it be 10? And then in parallel, where can we really support the vertical teams or the core product organization in adopting LLMs or generative AI more broadly directly?”
Emily Glassberg Sands Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 17:42 No Priors Ep. 50 | With Stripe Head of Information Emily Glassberg Sands
Feb 8, 2024
Insight
Gil: Enterprises Adopt LLMs Internally for Efficiency Before Launching Externally
“I found in, in general, people have tended to follow the pattern that you mentioned, which is they start off kind of thinking, hey, what should we do externally? And then they immediately collapse into doing something internally just so that people get their h…”
Elad Gil Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 5:07 No Priors Ep. 50 | With Stripe Head of Information Emily Glassberg Sands
Mar 14, 2024 positive
Insight
Field: AI design tools require a hybrid of diffusion models and LLMs
“When do you want like sort of an LM versus diffusion model solution for something and design is maybe you can define it as like art applied to problem solving. there's many different definitions of design. but I love that one. It's one that I've been thinkin…”
Dylan Field Mar 14, 2024 ▶ 13:55 No Priors Ep. 55 | With Figma CEO Dylan Field
Mar 28, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chase: LLM prompts will likely converge as models become more intelligent
“I do think the prompts will probably start to converge in the sense that if you think the models are getting more and more intelligent than like, hopefully these small idiosyncratic sees don't matter as much.”
Harrison Chase Mar 28, 2024 ▶ 15:05 No Priors Ep. 57 | With LangChain CEO and Co-Founder Harrison Chase
Mar 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Chase: Working AI agents require hardcoded domain structure, not LLM autonomy
“I think when we see people building agents that work right now, it's often breaking it down into a bunch of smaller components and kind of like imparting their domain knowledge about how information should Flow through these components. Because I think the ele…”
Harrison Chase Mar 28, 2024 ▶ 5:28 No Priors Ep. 57 | With LangChain CEO and Co-Founder Harrison Chase
Aug 1, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Vinyals: AI models show reasoning ability but remain inconsistently brittle
“Reasoning capabilities of the models are there, but I don't think we've perfected sort of making the reasoning very crisp and accurate so that these models would not hallucinate or would not, you know, the model might solve an, you know, Olympia mathematical p…”
Oriol Vinyals Aug 1, 2024 ▶ 18:23 No Priors Ep. 74 | With Google DeepMind VP of Research Oriol Vinyals
Oct 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Goyal: Internet-trained LLMs outperform models trained on internal enterprise data
“And I think the big insight or the crazy, you know, non-intuitive thing about LLMs is that something trained on the internet outperforms what an enterprise can produce with their own data trained on data in a data warehouse.”
Ankur Goyal Oct 8, 2024 ▶ 11:25 No Priors Ep. 85 | CEO of Braintrust Ankur Goyal
Oct 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Goyal: Embeddings and LLMs will replace relational indexes for querying data
“LLMs and, you know, specifically embeddings are going to be core to how people actually query data, not, you know, traditional algebraic relational indexes.”
Ankur Goyal Oct 8, 2024 ▶ 14:02 No Priors Ep. 85 | CEO of Braintrust Ankur Goyal
Nov 14, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mehta: Specialist data seeds LLMs, but RL drives superhuman capability
“The specialist humans are gonna serve to, like, get the LLM from, like, just a bunch of weights that knows how to do nothing to, like, something that, like is, like, surprisingly strong. And then the RL is gonna take you from there to, like, something that's, …”
Rishi Mehta Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 27:32 No Priors Ep. 90 | With Google's DeepMind's AlphaProof Team
Jan 16, 2025 positive
Insight
Zhang: Customer service is the golden use case for AI agents
“Our current use case as maybe what we think is like the golden use case for these AI agents, which is customer interactions, customer service. The use case is very tailor made for what LLMs are good at.”
Jesse Zhang Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 1:58 No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Insight
Foody: LLMs unlock hiring automation that LinkedIn could never achieve
“I think that LinkedIn centralizes And aggregates the very first layer of the application process of, like, what are the things that this person has done and, like, who are they connected to? The challenge historically has been that the rest of the process to f…”
Brendan Foody Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 40:03 No Priors Ep. 110 | With Mercor CEO and Co-Founder Brendan Foody
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Foody: AI Will Scale Peter Thiel's Interview Heuristics to Everyone Globally
“Imagine if you could have Peter Thiel as a heuristic interview everyone in the world when they're 18, right? And, like, and maybe he could go through and, like, meticulously spend time determining, like, you know, who is actually going to be good at what job. …”
Brendan Foody Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 41:07 No Priors Ep. 110 | With Mercor CEO and Co-Founder Brendan Foody
May 1, 2025 positive
Insight
Mitchell: AI offloads tasks lacking comparative advantage to external tools
“I think like part of this is you can just allocate compute a lot more efficiently because you can defer stuff that the model doesn't have comparative advantage to doing to a tool that is like really well suited to doing that thing.”
Eric Mitchell May 1, 2025 ▶ 10:52 No Priors Ep. 113 | With OpenAI's Eric Mitchell and Brandon McKinzie
Oct 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arora: Enterprises Are Not Giving LLMs Autonomy for Agentic Tasks
“None of us are giving autonomy to any form of LLMs to create any agentic task or do any work For me, we're all using them with human and humans in the loop for suggestions, and we're still sort of using the use cases where we are okay with multiple answers whe…”
Nikesh Arora Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 10:30 No Priors | With Palo Alto Networks CEO & Former Chief Business Officer of Google Nikesh Arora
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Ramaswamy: AI agents should use specialized tools over maximalist LLMs
“A smarter person is going to say, no, they should not do math. Instead, I should write the two lines of Python, which I know how to, you know, direct and run the Python in order to solve the math problem. I think of trust in a very similar way. There are well-…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 40:13 No Priors Ep. 139 | With Snowflake CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy
Dec 11, 2025 neutral
Insight
Voice AI benchmarking remains unsolved due to subjective user preferences
“I think it's an unsolved problem still, where I think you have good benchmarks, of course, in LMS, I think in image space, they are pretty good. In voice space, you have, of course, the speech quality, but then so much of whether you like or not the speech dep…”
Mati Staniszewski Dec 11, 2025 ▶ 16:10 No Priors Ep. 143 | With ElevenLabs Co-Founder Mati Staniszewski
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Guo: Someone Will Make Hundreds of Millions Trading Markets With LLMs
“From a prediction standpoint, personally, I think we're going to see somebody make a lot of money, hundreds of millions of dollars, trading markets with LLMs next year. It's inevitable.”
Sarah Guo Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 1:13 No Priors Ep. 144 | The 2026 AI Forecast with Sarah & Elad
Mar 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Karpathy: All frontier AI labs are pursuing recursive LLM self-improvement
“What I'm more interested in is, like, this idea of recursive self-improvement and to what extent you can actually have LLMs improving LLMs, because I think all the Frontier Labs, this is, like, The thing for obvious reasons. And they're all trying to recursive…”
Andrej Karpathy Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 17:45 Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AI
Mar 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Karpathy: Swarms of internet agents could outpace frontier AI labs
“A swarm of agents on the internet could collaborate to improve LLMs and could potentially even, like, run circles around Frontier Labs. Like, who knows, you know? Yeah, like, maybe that's even possible. Like, Frontier Labs have a huge amount of trusted compute…”
Andrej Karpathy Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 36:00 Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AI
Mar 20, 2026
Insight
Karpathy: Core LLM training algorithm requires only 200 lines of Python
“Training neural nets and LLMs specifically is a huge amount of code, but all of that code is actually complexity from efficiency. It's just because you need it to go fast. If you don't need it to go fast and you just care about the algorithm, then that algorit…”
Andrej Karpathy Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 1:01:57 Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AI
May 1, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srivastava: Global Compute Supply Will Fall Short of LLM Demand for Decade
“I think, like, there's no world in which there's enough compute to, you know, get the amount of value that we want to get out of our limbs in the next five to 10 years.”
Tuhin Srivastava May 1, 2026 ▶ 33:36 Baseten CEO Tuhin Srivastava on Custom Models, and Building the Inference Cloud
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