GitHub Copilot

part of GitHub includes GitHub Copilot Agent Mode, GitHub Copilot Workspace

12 statements across 5 episodes · 8 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2023 by Alex Graveley · said 70 times in 19 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Sarah Guo (32), Elad Gil (14), Thomas Dohmke (8), Alex Graveley (4), Satya Nadella (3), Kevin Scott (3), Dylan Field (2), Shyam Sankar (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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05102023202420252026episodes it came up in
007.5515102023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 4 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2025 41 mentions in 4 episodes 10 per episode
2024 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2023 21 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about GitHub Copilot, oldest first

Apr 25, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graveley: Copilot writes 80% of code for top power users
“There's some whales out there. Like there's people who it writes 80% of their code.”
Alex Graveley Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 29:47 No Priors Ep. 10 | With Copilot's Chief Architect and founder of Minion.AI Alex Graveley
Apr 25, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graveley: GitHub Copilot's in-the-wild test pass rate rose from under 10% to over 60%
“And eventually, you know, it went from, you know, less than 10% on in the wild test to over 60%. So that's like one in two tests it can just generate code for.”
Alex Graveley Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 18:25 No Priors Ep. 10 | With Copilot's Chief Architect and founder of Minion.AI Alex Graveley
Apr 25, 2023 positive
Insight
Graveley: Programmers think in blocks, making block autocomplete optimal
“The key insight was realizing that programmers kind of think in blocks. So if you can just autocomplete the rest of the current block, Then that's what people want. People can, they're kind of like judging what this block is going to do, and if it does the rig…”
Alex Graveley Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 26:34 No Priors Ep. 10 | With Copilot's Chief Architect and founder of Minion.AI Alex Graveley
Apr 25, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graveley: Every 10ms of latency drops Copilot completions by 1%
“Every 10 milliseconds is one percent fewer completions that people would do.”
Alex Graveley Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 24:16 No Priors Ep. 10 | With Copilot's Chief Architect and founder of Minion.AI Alex Graveley
Apr 25, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Graveley: GitHub Copilot weekly cohort retention stayed above 50%
“Our retention rate was 50%. Like, it never went, like, months later, it was still above 50% by, like, weekly cohort, which is, like, insane.”
Alex Graveley Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 28:04 No Priors Ep. 10 | With Copilot's Chief Architect and founder of Minion.AI Alex Graveley
May 24, 2023
Assertion Supported
Scott: Microsoft Copilots use a portfolio of AI models
“If you look at things like Bing chat or Microsoft three 65 copilot or GitHub copilot, you end up using a portfolio of models to do the work and like you use it for performance and cost optimization reasons, and you use it for you know, just sort of precision a…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 20:43 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
Jun 8, 2023 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Guo: GitHub Copilot operates by inspecting only five recent files
“Today, you know, you have Copilot looking at your five open files, your five most recent files and doing Function completion. And like that already has such a massive impact on productivity, but I think we're really early in figuring out how to deliver more co…”
Sarah Guo Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 9:46 No Priors Ep. 20 | With Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
Apr 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Guo: Microsoft Copilot Revenue Still Far Below Company's Expectations
“Despite all of the, you know, initial real traction around Copilot in the code domain I think we're still far short of what revenue Microsoft actually expects to drive in terms of across its productivity suite and in search, and they're ambitious to go after t…”
Sarah Guo Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 3:45 No Priors Ep. 59 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dohmke: Copilot reached 77,000 organizations and 1.8M paid users
“I think the last number we shared was a few quarters ago, 77,000 organizations using Copilot and back then the number of paid users was 1.8 million paid users.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 30:16 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dohmke: GitHub Copilot preview generated 25% of code early on
“Soon after we launched Copilot Preview it already wrote like, 25% of the code.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 10:56 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
Mar 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dohmke: Copilot yields 25-28% end-to-end developer productivity gains
“And then we're talking about, you know, 25, 28% productivity gains on, on the end to end 55% or higher on, on the coding task.”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 31:16 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
Mar 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Dohmke: Copilot will resolve GitHub issues via draft PRs in 2025
“But we think, you know in 20, 25, we get into a place where you can assign a GitHub issue, a well-defined GitHub issue to a co-pilot and then it starts creating a draft pull request and it outlines the plan and then it works through its plan and you can, simil…”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 1:34 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
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