autonomous vehicles

6 statements across 5 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement May 1, 2023 by Cristobal Valenzuela · across every show →

Everything said about autonomous vehicles, oldest first

May 1, 2023 bullish
Insight
Valenzuela: Creative AI succeeds early because creative workflows tolerate 80% accuracy
“And in research, going from 80% to a hundred percent is really hard. I think that you'll be seeing that in, like, autonomous vehicles where, like, it's always, like, two years ahead and, like, always 80%, but, like, that 20, 10% is just really hard. This is re…”
Cristobal Valenzuela May 1, 2023 ▶ 31:30 No Priors Ep. 2 | With Runway ML’s Cristobal Valenzuela
Jan 24, 2024 bearish
Insight
Chen: Simulating robotic manipulation is harder than autonomous driving due to contact
“When you think about simulation in self-driving car, like we are really mostly thinking about systems that hopefully don't physically interact with each other, right? Like if two cars get in contact with each other, that's a really terrible thing, right? And s…”
Peter Chen Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 31:05 No Priors Ep. 48 | With Covariant CEO Peter Chen
Oct 24, 2024 neutral
Insight
Dolgov: Trucking and delivery AVs cannot bypass full autonomy's core complexity
“And then they're a little bit different, but if we're talking about full autonomy, maybe there's second order differences, But the first order of complexity is still there. You can, ah, like the, if you think about, you know, the core, the heart of the problem…”
Dmitri Dolgov Oct 24, 2024 ▶ 35:58 No Priors Ep. 87 | With Co-CEO of Waymo Dmitri Dolgov
Feb 20, 2025
Insight
Vogt: AV labor costs hit diminishing returns at 25% remote assistance
“Once you get to like, you know, 50% remote assistance or even 25% at 25% remote assistance, you've already reduced the labor costs, you know, 75%. And so you're almost already at the diminishing returns point.”
Kyle Vogt Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 9:13 No Priors Ep. 102 | With The Bot Company CEO Kyle Vogt
Feb 20, 2025
Opinion
Vogt: Only tech giants able to absorb liability can survive in AVs
“The only candidate today, the only companies that stand a chance are the ones where, you know, they can afford to take on that liability. Cause they're a giant tech company that makes money in other places. You know, otherwise it's very bleak.”
Kyle Vogt Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 30:22 No Priors Ep. 102 | With The Bot Company CEO Kyle Vogt
Feb 12, 2026
Insight
Scaringe: Autonomous driving differences will be driven by UI, not core models
“The differences in the way it drives or feels are going to be more about like, what's the UI, the user interface of it.”
RJ Scaringe Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 22:10 AI, R2 and the Future of Everyday Driving | Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe
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