artificial superintelligence

also referred to as: asi

4 statements across 2 episodes · 2 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Jul 17, 2025 by Misha Laskin · across every show →

Everything said about artificial superintelligence, oldest first

Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laskin: Scaling RL on LLMs is the final paradigm before ASI
“The next paradigm, and effectively the final paradigm that we need to have in place before a, you know, what people used to call AGI, or now I think the goalposts have shifted to ASI, is reached, is just figuring out how to scale reinforcement learning on top …”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 7:06 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Jul 17, 2025
Insight
Laskin: Accurately verifying arbitrary outcomes is ASI-complete
“The reward problem in itself is at the time I called, I thought it was AGI complete. Now I'd say it's ASI complete, but by the time you have a neural network that can accurately verify any outcome, that is probably a super intelligence.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 35:52 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Jul 17, 2025 positive
Insight
Laskin: Building ASI requires co-designing product and research together
“As long as you pick a category that I would say is kind of big enough to be ASI complete I think, and this is kind of our approach at Reflection, is it makes a lot more sense to be focused and co-design those two things together, the product of the research.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 3:05 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Aug 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Guo: Researchers have predicted ASI is 18 months away for five years
“The data I have is that a number of very smart and even very self-aware research scientists have felt that, you know, there was some knee in the curve on recursive self-improvement or ASI, 18 months away, every 18 months for the last five years.”
Sarah Guo Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 19:09 Chasing Trillion-Dollar Companies, Founder Ambition, Token Budgets, & Regulatory Capture
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