The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 114 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 114 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2034
Somani: India Will Become the World's Third-Largest Economy in 10 Years
“We'll be the third largest in the next 10 years, right? That's another seven trillion dollars of GDP, let alone market cap, right?”
Amit Somani Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 12:41 Reverse Brain Drain, Reality Of Venture Capital And India’s Next 10 Year Explained By Top Indian VCs
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2044
Agarwal: Tanishq could reach 20% jewelry market share in 10-20 years
“So I mean, so what I think is that now Tanisha is a five percent market share. Easily, 20% market share, so after 1020 years, you know, we can see it.”
Ishendra Agarwal Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 52:59 Understanding Indian consumers & breaking down jewellery brands w/ GIVA Founder Ishendra Agarwal
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Agarwal: Most Enterprises Will Train Domain LLMs Over General Models
“So most enterprises that you will see that they will just do it that way. In many cases that you'll also see that especially for the enterprises again, that they will go and train the LLMs with the data set for their domains, with their data. Instead of just g…”
Manoj Agarwal Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 35:50 Deepfakes, AGI, Jobs Under Threat & More | DevRev Founder, Manoj Agarwal | Neon Show
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Musthafa: iD Fresh aims to IPO in three years at ₹1,000Cr scale
“Three years. That's the aim you have set for your team. When we cross a thousand crore run rate. With double digit EBITDA.”
PC Musthafa Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 1:05:27 Building a ₹3,000 Crore Business, PC Musthafa, Founder, iD Fresh
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Mehta: Two-wheelers on Indian roads will reach 400 million by 2030
“That, two hundred and fifty million two-wheelers on Indian roads, this number I think will become close to about four hundred million by the end of this decade, including exits of old vehicles.”
Tarun Mehta Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:01:13 ATHER FOUNDER: "Selling Over 11,000 Scooters Per Month & Creating India's Best EV Brand" | Tarun M
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Singh: Indian listed tech market share will rise to 15% by 2027
“And now that is expected that, you know, in the next five years, that will increase from like a 1.7% to like 15%.”
Neha Singh Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 33:52 The Process & Preparation of IPO Ft. Tracxn Technologies Founders Neha Singh & Abhishek Goyal
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2025
GrowthSchool Aims for $100 Million Scale via 100 $1M Revenue Programs
“So hundred programs each doing a million dollars in revenue is hundred million dollars, which will lead to a billion dollar business. That is our basic math, putting it out there, right? So how can we find a hundred topics which will do at least a million doll…”
Vaibhav Sisinty Sep 12, 2022 ▶ 25:40 Helping Startups Grow Through Engineered Organic Marketing Ft. Vaibhav Sisinty, Founder-GrowthSchool
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Indian gated communities will grow from 150,000 to 240,000 within eight years
“These gated communities today, which are 150,000 communities, are going to go up to 240,000 gated communities in the next, you know, five to eight years, right?”
Vijay Arisetty Aug 1, 2022 ▶ 55:42 Building A Society Mantainance App For 4M+ Homes Ft Vijay Arisetty, Founder, MyGate
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2027
Online grocery penetration in India will eventually reach eight to nine percent
“Online groceries, one percent of the grocery, of grocery in India, right? This will move to three percent. Eventually it will move to eight, nine percent.”
Hari Menon Jun 21, 2022 ▶ 34:48 How He Built India’s Largest Online Grocery Store? Ft. Hari Menon, Ceo & Co-Founder, BigBasket
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Goel: India's direct commerce market will reach $40B–$50B in 5–7 years
“And I think this market, this direct commerce market is, is going to become about 40, fifty billion over the next, you know, five to seven years.”
Saahil Goel Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 19:32 How He Built A ₹7,000+ CRORE Logistics Tech Company! ft. Co-Founder of Shiprocket, Saahil Goel
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Vashisht: Global obesity will reach three billion people by 2030
“I mean, the world had doubled in obesity between 2002 1015, and now it's tripled to three billion people by 2030.”
Tushar Vashisht Oct 18, 2021 ▶ 14:17 @HealthifyMe founder on Funding, Growth, Healthcare in India ft. Tushar Vashisht
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2026
Jain: Most of the next 500M internet users will be minors
“Whenever we are talking about the next half billion users on the internet, we often forget that majority of them are going to be minors, right? Every year millions of teens will get their first smartphones.”
Sambhav Jain Aug 30, 2021 ▶ 12:22 Fampay Founder on Fintech for GenZ and Funding ft. Sambhav Jain | 100x Entrepreneur
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
At least one-third of top Indian startups will be global enterprise software
“So my sense is that at least one-third of them will be global enterprise software companies, if not more.”
Abhishek Goyal Apr 19, 2021 ▶ 35:41 Inside the mind of Abhishek Goyal, Co-Founder, Tracxn | 100x Entrepreneur Podcast | Top Podcast Ep
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2041
Bahl: India Will Create Hundreds of $100M+ Brands in 10-20 Years
“And our view was there'll be hundreds of more than a hundred million dollar each brands created over the coming, you know, 1020 years in our country.”
Kunal Bahl Jan 18, 2021 ▶ 29:01 Inside the mind of Kunal Bahl, Co-Founder, Snapdeal & Titan Capital
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2022
ShareChat's massive top-of-funnel reach will naturally lead to facilitating financial loans
“Of course. I think it's bound to happen. I would see ShareChat as a top of the funnel play that every day millions of users come to ShareChat and each one of them finds a different use case to use ShareChat. Now let's say a trader comes to share chat to find t…”
Mayank Khanduja Aug 20, 2019 ▶ 15:09 When your competitors raise heavily from VC's | Mayank Khanduja, SAIF Partners
Assertion Open · timeframe Jan 2026
Nachika: iD Fresh launched batter at a premium ₹20 over market's ₹15
“When people were selling 15 rupees, 16 rupees better, our price was 20 rupees. When we started with 20 every day.”
Abdul Nasar (Nachika) Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 35:34 What Went Wrong Before iD Fresh Worked | For the First Time Co-Founders Tell Their Story
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Dash: Hello Heart is approaching $100M ARR after 2021 investment
“When we invested, they were at ten million of ARR. They're on the cusp of breaking through a hundred”
Somesh Dash Nov 18, 2025 ▶ 1:00:56 What 20 Years of Investing taught Somesh Dash of IVP after backing Perplexity, Figma, Dropbox
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Ganesan: Exotel Deserves to Be Public and Will IPO
“I don't think of it as much as what it means to me to go public as much as I just feel like Exotel is one of those assets that needs to, deserves to be public. So we will take it public.”
Shivakumar Ganesan Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 40:16 8 Years Without Funding to $100M Raise & Now A Category Leader | Shivku Ganesan ,Exotel
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