why aren't all 120 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Puri: Meta Quest has sold 20M units total and 1M Quest 3s
“Quest has sold over twenty million units, with the majority being Quest two. Quest three is currently sell has sold a million units at the 500 dollar price point.”
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: Zuckerberg spent years personally recruiting Stan Chudnovsky for Facebook
“For many years Mark Zuckerberg personally tried to recruit Stan, and he always said, no, no, no, no, no. And Zuck just kept reaching out, kept trying to recruit him, and eventually got Stan to join Facebook, and he ended up running Messenger, the, you know, th…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pujji: Zuckerberg outlined Facebook's expansion roadmap in a 2005 phone call
“To his credit, he outlines the entire strategy that Facebook has executed. He goes, first we're going to go to high schools, then we're going to go to workplaces, then we're going to go into pods, then we're going to like, he had the whole strategy. This is in…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Facebook crowdsourced user translations to localize globally overnight
“Facebook had to do like a Wikipedia thing. Cause there was, you know, there's 186 countries that they had to deal with. And so they were like, we need users to basically re re translate the site for their local region. And they incentivized people to do that. …”
Assertion Supported
David Choe's $60K Facebook mural equity became worth $200M
“I guess he was like supposed to get paid 60 grand, and instead of taking the 60 grand for the painting he did on Facebook's office wall, he took stock, and the stock ended up becoming worth two hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Sean Parker's 4% stake in Facebook became worth up to $5B
“So Sean ended up owning four percent of Facebook, which is, like, became worth, like, I don't know, four or five billion dollars just on his Facebook stock.”
Disclosure
Puri: Facebook offered more for his startup than Twitch did
“So when we were going through the acquisition process, Facebook, it was gonna go, we were gonna sell to Facebook, not, not not Twitch. They had the higher offer, the better offer”
Assertion Contradicted
LittleThings reached 250M monthly uniques and $90M revenue in four years
“And so within four years, they were the most shared website on Facebook, bigger than Viral Nova, bigger than BuzzFeed, bigger than HuffPo, all these publishers that were huge in the 2014, 15 era. And it started getting something like two hundred and fifty mill…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nagpal: A Facebook co-founder repeatedly took his viral personality quizzes
“One of the Facebook founders actually took that quiz multiple times. And I know that because you get their Facebook user ID in the database. So user ID number, I'm not going to tell you which number it is, is, was in our database.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nagpal: Made first million dollars before age 21 via Facebook apps
“We created these personality quizzes, and then friend quizzes and stuff, and yeah, you know, millions of daily users was able to make a million dollars before S-Twenty-One, which was pretty cool.”
Assertion Partly supported
Parr: Facebook created the Like button from its $50M FriendFeed acquisition
“After that, he started this social networking site called FriendFeed, which he sold to Facebook. And Facebook incorporated it. And one of the big things that Facebook took from it was they actually created the like button because of it. He sold that for about …”
Disclosure
Haque made millions trading metaverse tokens after Facebook's Meta rebrand
“Well, aside from Anamaka, I had a bunch of other token investments, especially when Facebook renamed to Meta. Remember, I was buying up all the MetaVest coins, Decentraland, Axie, Sandbox, and so I experienced, you know, making millions of dollars, like, liqui…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Facebook algorithm change crashed a website's sale from $200M to $30M
“He was about to get a two hundred million dollar check for the sale. And it was a, like a, one of those like click baby websites on Facebook that showed like top 10 lists. And then Facebook changed the algorithm and the sale, sale dropped from two hundred mill…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ali: A friend turned $50K in 2008 Facebook stock into $8 million
“Somebody else came to me and was like, hey I've got Facebook stock to sell to, and so I hooked up a friend of mine with that Facebook stock, and he bought 50 K worth of stock, And that 50 K ended up being worth, like, eight million dollars for him, which is ki…”
Disclosure
Rose: Selling Digg secondary shares funded early Twitter and Facebook checks
“I sold a little bit of my dig stock enough to give me the ammo to go and do small C checks, you know, and put, you know, 25 K into, you know, Twitter's seed round and put, you know, 25 K and, or it was more into Facebook, but they're a little bit later stage.”
Disclosure
Luckey: Oculus Key Personnel Had Five-Year Vesting Schedules at Facebook
“I was locked up on a five-year vesting schedule. So typical would be for, Most of our employees were four. I got locked up for five cause I was a key guy.”
Assertion Supported
Meta spent $26 million on security for Mark Zuckerberg's family in 2021
“For Facebook, they said last year, twenty six million was spent on Zuckerberg and his family, which was six percent higher than in 2020.”
Disclosure
Puri: Viral metaverse thread was an unedited 25-minute throwaway post
“I got 25 minutes to kill and I just watched this thing and I just tweeted it out. And I like, to me, it was like a throwaway thing. It wasn't like a planned, Drafted, edited thing.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alpha Paw Founders Ran Zero Ads and Sent No Emails Before Acquisition
“This case the two founders were not doing any Facebook ads. There was no paid acquisition happening at all. And even though they had a, These inside customer database, they were not emailing even existing customers, let alone trying to capture, you know, a car…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Facebook's 'Aha Moment' Was Getting 7 Friends in 10 Days
“What they found was seven friends in 10 days was the aha moment. So once you saw seven different friends on your feed, and if you could do that within 10 days, you were like super, super sticky.”
Assertion Supported
Balaji: Print media revenue plunged from $65B to $17B post-2008
“After the financial crisis, print media dropped the revenue from like something like sixty five billion down to like seventeen billion while Google and Facebook were just going vertical like this.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sulaiman Ali aggressively bought pre-IPO Facebook stock after his app sale
“He basically took a bunch of that money and just plot. He was like Chris Saka. He aggressively started buying up Facebook stock back then before it was public.”
Disclosure
Pompliano worked directly with Zuckerberg and Sandberg at Facebook
“I worked directly with, you know, Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl Sandberg for a short period of time at Facebook when they were trying to figure out how do they grow their audiences on Facebook?”
Disclosure
Parr: Gained 10,000 Facebook Followers in Five Days Reposting Reddit Videos
“I created this one page called Bully Boo... And I just went and got viral videos from Reddit, and I posted it on Bully Boo. Dude, I got like, 10,000 followers on Facebook, like, in a matter of, like, five days.”