The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lessin: Musk and SpaceX Dedicated 100% of First Colossus Project to Anthropic
“We have seen perhaps the strangest AI compute deal to date, which is Anthropic Colossus. So SpaceX, Elon Musk. Have given over their first Colossus project. 100%. Not like 40%.”
Jessica Lessin May 8, 2026 ▶ 5:05 Why the Met Gala Hates Tech, Elon vs OpenAI Drama, and the Rise of Chinese AI Models · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Morin: SpaceX Allocated 5% to Directed Shares With No Lockup
“SpaceX reserved up to five percent of the IPO shares for a directed share program, which is people selected by the executive officers. And so they're offered at the IPO price and they have no post IPO lockup restrictions.”
Dave Morin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 9:55 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Assertion Supported
Lessin: SpaceX has filed its S-1, targeting June 12 IPO
“Well, and also we have SpaceX IPO S one is out confirming numbers previously reported by the information. June 12th, guys, is the rough date for liftoff.”
Jessica Lessin May 22, 2026 ▶ 1:46 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Gwynne Shotwell donated hundreds of millions to Trump accounts
“And she did, and she donated hundreds of millions of dollars in SpaceX to Trump accounts.”
Jessica Lessin Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 13:13 AI Frontier Lab Is Essentially Doomed | Open AI Offered U.S. Equity, Xbox Is In Trouble, Post-AGI · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
SpaceX reached a $2.5 trillion valuation as of June 2026
“We're at two and a half trillion dollars as of this taping.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 19, 2026 ▶ 2:20 SpaceX Hit $2.5 Trillion. Now Watch What Elon Buys Next. · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
SpaceX IPO Is 4x Oversubscribed With $300 Billion in Demand
“It's Forex oversubscribed. There's like almost three hundred billion in demand. Including a lot of the Middle East.”
Brit Morin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 14:45 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk to get massive comp plan in SpaceX IPO
“The information reported this week, not only unsurprisingly, is he getting super voting shares in the SpaceX IPO, but he now Elon has a really aggressive comp plan as well that will give him tens of millions of shares if I think the market cap goes to 6.6 tril…”
Jessica Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 29:27 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: Elon Musk claimed a $1T revenue target moved up a year
“The one-liner was that they have now moved, what, they've moved up one year their one trillion dollar revenue number. That was the kind of funny Elon quote from the earnings call, that things are going so well That they're going to hit one trillion one year ea…”
Dave Morin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 47:29 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Morin: Elon Musk and Key Investors Face 366-Day SpaceX Lockup
“Elon and key investors are 366 day. So full year lockups.”
Dave Morin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 9:50 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: SpaceX caught a 23-story tall rocket booster
“That thing's a 20, it's a 23 story building that they caught.”
Dave Morin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 18:19 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
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