The Ledger

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin predicts AI spend will shift to cheap open-source models
“And so the vast majority of tokens and spend in the market, the good market, the good morning America audience is going to be going for cheap Quen effectively over time. And it's going to be because they care about the costs, right? Like that's going to be the…”
Sam Lessin May 1, 2026 ▶ 17:29 Elon Musk vs OpenAI Trial, Google Cloud Surge, Meta’s Blocked Acquisition, Anthropic Winning · More or Less Podcast
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