why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin predicts AI talent compensation will normalize like iOS developers
“I generally think like what Dave said, that it's much more likely this is just like the iOS displacement over again. And like the next generation of comp gets way more reasonable again.”
Opinion
Lessin: Android is dying while Apple iOS completely dominates the market
“Android is kind of dying slash not working and iOS is just completely dominating.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Three Quarters of World Will Choose Open-Source AI
“If Android represents all open source models, open weights, et cetera, iOS represents frontier labs. I feel like we're going to head down a path with a similar breakdown in the U S and globally. We're like three quarters of the world are going to choose open s…”
Insight
Morin: AI apps are no different than apps built on Linux or iOS
“There's no difference between an app that's built on Linux or an app that's built on iOS. Like these are just apps.”
Opinion
Morin: Apple's AI keyboard defaults will insidiously influence how billions communicate
“I was sitting there going, wow, this is the new devil in the defaults for how a billion people are going to use AI every single day. This thing is recommending what I should say in response to my friend that I'm text messaging.”
Opinion
Brit Morin: Apple introduces update bugs around phone launches to drive upgrades
“I think they do this anytime a new phone launches because they just want you to get rid of your phone and update it no matter what, so you can fix all the bugs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: The Apple DOJ lawsuit will take 5 to 10 years
“And so it just is going to take five to 10 years. And by that time, Apple will be like, everyone will have moved on from this and like the whole OS will probably be much different anyways.”