The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Sam Lessin: Instacart would fail if executives adopted founder mode
“Instacart would be a complete disaster if all the people running around as executives being founder mode. Like, you need them to, like, sign up for goals and hit them and turn cranks and take incredible joy out of hitting their metrics, right, so that you can …”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 23:32 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Late-Stage Venture Capital Is a Terrible Asset Class
“It's the same thing with like late stage private capital. It's like, it's just a shitty asset class, right? Like, it's like, I understand why you want to be a hyper profitable, super Thingy AI companies with infinite pop side and tons of control of their margi…”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 21:18 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Instacart’s Debut Is a 'Fake IPO' Driven by a Tiny Float
“This is, like, a fake IPO, right in terms of how it's being structured. Like, yes, they need to get public, and they're getting public, and they're technically public. Yes, all true. Tiny float, right? You know, set it up, you know, set it up in a way where, l…”
Sam Lessin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 27:51 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Reddit is a much easier business to own than Instacart
“I actually, I'd much rather own, as I guess I do, a little bit of Reddit than Instacart for a thousand reasons. It's a much easier business.”
Sam Lessin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 37:08 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Public market investors should avoid buying Instacart stock in 2024
“And I will say in 24, you should still not buy Instacart stock.”
Sam Lessin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 16:32 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Every Instacart Investor Since 2015 Is Underwater Post-IPO
“Basically everyone, everyone since 2015 is underwater.”
Dave Morin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 24:23 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Partly supported
Fiji Simo Rescued Instacart, Making It Profitable Within Two Years
“I just want to give credit to Fiji who came in to this business while it was down, like shrinking, 16% year over year within two years, got it profitable, had like five straight quarters of growth, took it public.”
Brit Morin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 22:47 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Life360 Is Growing 33% Year-Over-Year and Launching Ads
“Not only do they have a. 33% annual year or year growth rate already, but they're also now starting to introduce ads and kind of playing that Instacart strategy of, you know, the bigger picture here in terms of how big the market can get.”
Brit Morin Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 5:56 #50: Startups to Start: Media Edition · More or Less Podcast
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