The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 24 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lessin: Meta is switching to Slack over Google for AI agents
“But Meta is moving to it because it thinks it's better than Google for agents.”
Jessica Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 26:46 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Judge Chastised DOJ and Cited AI in Google Antitrust Ruling
“The judge even chastised the DOJ for requesting Chrome to be spun off, saying that was such an extreme move and that the other remedies they were asking for would have like crippled the industry. And the highlight of it all is that they said Gen AI changed the…”
Jessica Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 13:07 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: OpenAI publicly indicated interest in buying Google's Chrome browser
“Like I found it really interesting that open AI was first to raise their hand this morning about You know, hey, we'll buy Chrome.”
Dave Morin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 15:38 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Dave Morin predicts Google's Wiz acquisition will easily secure regulatory approval
“I just, I think that it'll go through no question. In fact, I bet it accelerates through.”
Dave Morin Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 20:36 #91: Google’s $32B Deal and a Silicon Valley Spy Scandal! · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Stanford: Google Gemini just reached one billion users
“I mean, Gemini just hit a billion users.”
Scott Stanford Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 12:47 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Lessin: OpenAI and Anthropic represent half of major cloud deal backlogs
“And then we charted of the, we just had earnings, of the backlogs in deals for Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon, what percentage are OpenAI's commitment and Anthropi's commitment? It's together, they're about half, ok?”
Jessica Lessin May 8, 2026 ▶ 34:38 Why the Met Gala Hates Tech, Elon vs OpenAI Drama, and the Rise of Chinese AI Models · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin says Apple and Google partnered for Gemini to power Siri
“Google and Apple are doing a Siri deal, so Siri is going to be powered by Gemini, essentially, until, until Apple, quote, figures it out, but it, there seems to be this pattern here of Apple realizing Google is, is pretty good at this stuff, and they'll be pre…”
Jessica Lessin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 13:28 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Morin: Top hyperscalers projected to spend $400B this year
“And the Meg seven, not Apple, but the rest of them met a Google, Amazon, et cetera, are projected to spend about four hundred billion this year.”
Dave Morin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 23:37 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: OpenAI and Google have struck a cloud deal
“And so now all of a sudden Google like open AI actually in Google. Have a deal. A cloud deal. It's, like, wild.”
Jessica Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 37:31 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Google is offering buyouts to its search and advertising employees
“Another big story we had this week that kind of went under the radar because there's so much news is that Google's offering buyouts to employees in search and ads.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 51:44 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Lessin: Courts Likely to Bar Apple-Google Search Deal in Current Form
“The courts are likely to say that the Apple Google search deal cannot continue in its current form for antitrust reasons.”
Jessica Lessin May 9, 2025 ▶ 25:37 OpenAI Acquires Windsurf for $3B, Google's Stock Dips | #98 · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Google announces over 900M active Gemini users
“I think they said they have over nine hundred million active users using Gemini.”
Brit Morin May 22, 2026 ▶ 11:26 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Google Added $270B in Market Cap Post-Antitrust Decision
“I mean, the stock is up, what, 10% on this news, which is on a 2.7 trillion dollar, it's like two hundred seventy billion dollars. So what's amazing is that basically it's added half an open AI because of open AI.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 14:50 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Morin: Google launched Offerwall to help publishers monetize lost search traffic
“Google, in an attempt to make publishers more happy because all of their traffic has dropped, especially with Gemini now rolling out on top of search results, launched a new product this week to help publishers monetize. Did you see this? It's called Offerwall…”
Brit Morin Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 11:24 #106: AI Researchers Earning More Than Cristiano Ronaldo · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Google says 25 percent of its new code is AI-generated
“Google had the headline that it, 25% of the code written at the company is originated with AI and then checked by people.”
Jessica Lessin Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 11:51 #71: Big Tech Earnings and the AI Revolution · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google controls 94.9% of the mobile search market
“They have a 94.9% share on mobile.”
Brit Morin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 15:30 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google's $20B search deal accounts for a quarter of Apple's services revenue
“Google paid Apple, twenty billion for the default search deal, and Apple's services division, which this revenue went into, generated eighty-five billion. So about a quarter of its services division is coming Directly from Google.”
Brit Morin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 14:14 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Hiring Olympians was Google's strategy back in the day
“This was the strategy at Google back in the day, too”
Brit Morin Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 43:15 #56: Trump and the PayPal Mafia · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google shifted its focus to XR software in June 2023
“Google in June of twenty-twenty-three shifted the focus to XR software. So it's basically like creating Android for VR. And any hardware developers can incorporate XR into their own hardware as their own VR device.”
Brit Morin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 21:23 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: Google is delayed on Gemini cloud and enterprise rollout
“We've got the next folly in the AI wars coming as Google is delayed on many other aspects of the Gemini rollout, including the cloud and enterprise stuff, which is quite important.”
Jessica Lessin Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 7:49 #26: Google Gemini, Meet Crypto-Cyber-Crystals · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: Google Launched a Direct Competitor to Whoop Tracker
“Google's new hardware, because they launched a Whoop competitor.”
Jessica Lessin May 15, 2026 ▶ 6:53 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google stock dropped 25%, shedding $150B in one day
“No, it's dropped from like two Oh seven to currently one 52. So that's like 25%. Today it dropped eight percent alone, which on like a two trillion dollar market cap companies, like a hundred and fifty billion dollars, which is just crazy.”
Brit Morin May 9, 2025 ▶ 26:51 OpenAI Acquires Windsurf for $3B, Google's Stock Dips | #98 · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google and Meta dominate a $740 billion ad market
“I mean, it's literally like the global digital ad spend, Google and Meta dominate, right? And that's like a seven hundred and forty billion dollar market.”
Brit Morin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 11:38 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: YouTube's $50B revenue makes it bigger than Netflix's $37B
“Did you guys see that YouTube within Google's earnings is actually now is a fifty billion dollar revenue generating company, which if you don't count Meta as a media company makes YouTube kind of the number one and Netflix now is, is thirty seven billion at nu…”
Brit Morin Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 33:39 #71: Big Tech Earnings and the AI Revolution · More or Less Podcast
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