The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Sam Lessin: Google Antitrust Monopoly Decision Will Be Struck Down
“I personally think if this is, if the case ended up coming down, they, that the courts defined it as the search ad market was not a monopoly, but the search consumer was, and that I, my money says this gets struck down, which is why the stock isn't.”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 13:37 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Lessin predicts federal antitrust search ruling against Google will be struck down
“So I personally think if this is, if the case ended up coming down, they, that the courts defined it as the search ad market was not a monopoly, but the search consumer was, and that I, my money says this gets struck down, which is why the stock isn't.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 16:28 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Google will never sell its Chrome browser
“Google's not gonna sell Chrome ever.”
Jessica Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 24:58 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Jessica Lessin: Google antitrust case will likely end in a major settlement
“Well, I think I, and I've actually started to do some actual reporting on this topic, and my strong hunch is a really, is a nice juicy settlement coming. Nothing imminent, but they're still waiting for courts”
Jessica Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 11:32 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Sam Lessin: Google will not be broken up under Donald Trump
“That's not going to happen with Trump as president.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 11:27 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Jessica Lessin: Anthropic will probably IPO before OpenAI
“I think Anthropic probably does it before OpenAI because they need it more, right? So if you put the need before, although I think Google and Amazon will continue to fund them.”
Jessica Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 17:17 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
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