The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Jessica Lessin predicts Google's $32 billion Wiz acquisition will not close
“I am going to go on record saying this deal will not close.”
Jessica Lessin Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 18:24 #91: Google’s $32B Deal and a Silicon Valley Spy Scandal! · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dave Morin: NotebookLM could replace Google's Gemini UX within six months
“I mean, I think you might see in three, six months that the sort of Gemini core user experience is thrown out in favor of the notebook LM experience because it's just better for everyday consumers.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 19:02 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Jessica Lessin: Gemini's Daily Active Users Are Three Quarters of ChatGPT's
“I mean, if you look at daily actives, Gemini is about three quarters of ChatGPT at the moment.”
Jessica Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 16:42 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Britt Morin: Roughly 40% of people expect to stop using Google
“It's something like 40% of people think they're going to stop using Google the next two years.”
Brit Morin Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 34:40 #88: Meta’s $200B AI Bet, Instagram Reels & The Future of Content · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Morin: Google 20% projects required pitching to Page, Brin, and Schmidt
“When you pitched a 20% project, you had to pitch it to Larry, Sergey, and Eric. You had to go to, like, the exact meeting. Pitch the project and explain to them how you were going to also keep up your normal day job while doing the project.”
Brit Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 5:41 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: Google AI Predicts NFL Pass Rushers Better Than Live Announcers
“Apparently Google I think on YouTube with sports and the NFL, they're basically, like, have these little rings that show up underneath the athletes as they move into position before the play starts, and the AI is actually predicting who's going to rush the qua…”
Dave Morin Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 33:07 #22: Your GPT Will Make More Money Than Your Substack? Please Tell Us More… · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: Reddit blackouts caused meaningful degradation of Google Search results
“I think one of the interesting things this morning was that the somebody did an analysis that Google search results are meaningfully worse off today because of the Reddit stuff going on.”
Dave Morin Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 10:09 #2: Reddit and the death of the public internet; the end of the VC "epoch" · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Brit Morin: Life360 Is Uniquely Interoperable Across Apple and Google
“And it's really the only app and network that is interoperable across Google and Apple.”
Brit Morin Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 5:36 #50: Startups to Start: Media Edition · More or Less Podcast
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