why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Sam Lessin: Blocking Big Tech acquisitions forces startups to build profitable businesses
“I think this is like pretty good because all of a sudden as a startup, you'd be like, you actually have to build a successful business to go public and make money and like be a successful company. You can't just build a product that's strategically valuable to…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sam Lessin: Adobe's Figma acquisition will likely close despite scrutiny
“And it probably gets done, and even doesn't get done, whatever. Like, I don't think it really impacts the early stage market.”
Opinion
Dave Morin: Figma should have done a direct listing
“Figma should have done a direct listing.”
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Figma's IPO does not mean SaaS is back
“I've seen people on the internet trying to claim that SaaS is back, which is just the wrong take.”
Opinion
Dave Morin: Figma's IPO valuation is driven entirely by AI hype
“The only explanation for this is that this is absolutely based on excess demand for AI plays. Like, it's like, that's the only explanation for the price.”
Insight
Sam Lessin: Streaming churn is fundamentally different from enterprise software churn
“The other strategy is you charge more per month and accept more month-to-month churn, but it's not actually like, it's not like software churn, where like, you're like, I'm done using Figma forever, right? It's like a different type of churn.”
Assertion Supported
Figma is valued at $12.5B with $700M in ARR
“Not made it through the twenty billion dollar Adobe acquisition is now being valued at 12 and a half. But from, you know, good firms, they have KOTU, General Catalyst, and their ARR's at seven hundred million now.”