The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Lessin: Enterprises are pausing AI spend increases due to DeepSeek efficiency
“We've done a lot of reporting at the information about businesses that sort of say, you know, we're not increasing our spend right now because we're getting efficiency gains from deep seek and all these other models.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 24:05 Why Elon Musk May Be Pulling Back from Washington (with Joanna Coles) | More or Less #94 · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Sam Lessin: Nvidia lost $600M in market cap post-DeepSeek
“Our guess was 10%, and we guessed three hundred million. It was actually closer to six hundred million.”
Sam Lessin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 5:10 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Morin: DeepSeek's paper unifies fine-tuning and optimization in one RL equation
“They do have this one part of one of the papers that talks about a unified paradigm around reinforcement learning, which is pretty cool. They've got a Very beautiful piece of math that kind of brings together all these different fine tuning and optimization te…”
Dave Morin Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 56:16 #84: China's DeepSeek Shakes the Tech World · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: DeepSeek was created by an algorithmic hedge fund
“It's entertaining because the people who made it run an algorithmic hedge fund.”
Sam Lessin Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 15:16 #84: China's DeepSeek Shakes the Tech World · More or Less Podcast
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