The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Jessica Lessin says China will block a TikTok sale under algorithm export rules
“They won't let them. It will be in violation of their rules against exporting algorithms.”
Jessica Lessin Mar 15, 2024 ▶ 13:21 #38: Hartz and Minds and TikTok w/ Special Guest Julia Hartz · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: China holds a board seat in a secretive ByteDance subsidiary
“I thought of this because the reason the world knows that actually the Chinese government owns ByteDance is because Of some of the great reporting of my colleagues in Asia that actually broke the news of not just this idea that Chinese companies are controlled…”
Jessica Lessin Dec 15, 2023 ▶ 43:28 #27: Make Number Go Up, and The Problem with Nonprofits · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Held up
Jessica Lessin: TikTok Will Sue the U.S. Over First Amendment
“So what's gonna happen after Biden signs this is ByteDance or TikTok is gonna sue to block it on the grounds that it's infringing on the First Amendment.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 3:18 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Morin: US-China Digital Trade Has Been Completely One-Sided for 30 Years
“We cannot export Digital into China at all, right? Like our bits do not flow through their firewall. Like, you know, most of our companies cannot operate there and the inverse is not true, right? Like you bite dance, you name it. Like all of the Chinese compan…”
Dave Morin Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 41:08 #77: Sora Reveal, Google's AI Agents and Digital Trade Under Trump · More or Less Podcast
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: ByteDance moved the TikTok feed into CapCut
“And I noticed a few weeks ago that they've also now moved the TikTok feed into CapCut.”
Dave Morin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 7:30 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
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