why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Dave Morin: Culture has staged a wholesale rejection of VR headsets
“Like, I also think that there was a wholesale rejection, like a wholesale cultural rejection of this entire idea. Like, I think that people experience both the meta quest and the vision pro and they were just like, Hard no. I do not want this. Like, this is no…”
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: The Information reported Apple paused next Vision Pro
“The information is reported there, they're not even working on the next version of it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts Vision Pro will spawn a new consumer device ecosystem
“I think you have to think of this almost like the new version of the Macintosh, and this will borne out its own versions of iPhones and iPads and watches, right? There'll be accessories that go along with this, and you have to like, think of this as like the t…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro will never be a $1,000 device
“This isn't a consumer product, and Apple literally named it the Apple Vision Pro. There's never been a 1000 dollar MacBook Pro. There's not going to be a 1000 dollar Apple Vision Pro. Whenever the Apple Vision comes out, we might have a 1000 dollar tool.”
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Vision Pro is history's most expensive device per minute used
“Yeah, I would say that I think the Vision Pro is almost certainly the most expensive device per minute used in history.”
Opinion
Lessin: The average Apple Vision Pro has been used for 10 minutes
“My theory is that the average Headset has been used for 10 minutes. And that means that at 3000 dollars, it's 18,000 dollars an hour.”
Opinion
Morin: The initial Apple Vision Pro release is essentially a developer kit
“I really think this was a dev kit release and that the point of this release was to get developers excited.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Apple Vision Pro will remain a solo entertainment experience
“I do think it's a solo experience. I don't think people are going to walk around their house with these or the streets with these or the car with these, but I do think they're going to have solo experiences with these and the entertainment will be kind of the …”
Opinion
Dave Morin calls Apple Vision Pro the pinnacle of human ingenuity
“The electronics development of this thing is, The pinnacle of human ingenuity right now in the world.”
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro Expands Headset Market, Leaving Room for Meta
“I also think that it's market expanding, right? There's room for both. And there's going, just like in computers, you know, you needed Dell, you needed Microsoft, you needed Apple, right? There's a lot of different customers out there.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Apple Vision Pro will get bad early reviews over weight and isolation
“I do think it's going to get a lot of bad reviews in the early days because it's not the social experience everyone thought it was. It's heavy, you know and all of the rest of it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jessica Lessin: 2024 will not be a breakthrough year for mixed reality
“I do not think that next year is going to be a breakthrough year, but we shall see.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Apple Vision Pro will sell modestly but exceed user expectations
“I don't think it's gonna sell a lot, but I think people are gonna be more impressed than they think.”
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple Vision Pro beats flat-screen TVs for live sports
“Honestly, it was a fabulous, I literally was sitting in front of our large flat screen in our living room with the Vision Pro on, not using the flat screen because the Vision Pro was better.”
Opinion
Morin: Communicating with others while wearing Apple Vision Pro is extremely difficult
“And the thing that's bothering me the most about the Vision Pro right now is that it's extremely hard to communicate with other people using it.”
Assertion Supported
Morin: Meta Quest lacks Apple Vision Pro's advanced LiDAR mapping capabilities
“It can't do this. It doesn't have the same LiDAR capabilities, and nobody's talking about this.”
Insight
Brian Singerman says headsets need multi-user presence to be transformative
“For this to truly be transformative, it will have to start working in a way where you're either interacting with multiple people over a network who are wearing one, or even next to you and you're just watching different movies”
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro has too much lag to safely drive with
“It's definitely not fast enough. There's definitely enough leg that you do not want to be driving a car.”