why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple's App Store controls are not anti-competitive but driven by trust
“I think broadly the app store has shown a pretty even hand, and the point of the thing is trust, right? Like, when I pick this thing up and I download anything onto it, I trust it. Right. And to build that trust, you have to invest and build something like thi…”
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: The Apple App Store did $1 trillion in business in 2022
“You know, he was telling me that the app store did a trillion dollars in business in 20, 22 alone.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morin: AI boyfriends far outpace AI girlfriends in App Store usage
“Well, there was a piece this week, I'll have to find it, that looked at the data in terms of what's being used in the App Store, and AI boyfriends are far outpacing AI girlfriends, apparently.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: OpenAI and Major Apps Face Month-Long App Store Delays
“I heard that open AI and some of the bigger apps have been stuck in the queue for a month. For changes that are unrelated to VibeCode, it's just random changes unrelated.”
Insight
Sam Lessin: Apple's 27% fee implies payment processing is worth only 3%
“The answer is, three percent is for payment processing, which is about what you pay for payment processing.”
Disclosure
Sam Lessin Kept an Apple Executive's Business Card in an Emergency Glass Box
“I had a business card of one in an Apple executive that worked in the app store, and I put it in a glass box that you would break in an emergency and left it in the office. So then I'd say like, look, when you're pushing bills and things come up, if you need t…”