The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2026
Jessica Lessin: Anthropic will go public by September
“Anthropic will go public. I would be shocked if they're not public in September.”
Jessica Lessin Jul 17, 2026 ▶ 2:55 Open Source AI Wins. Now Labs Are Running to Washington |Thinking Machines, Johnny Ive, Realtime API · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Lessin: Anthropic's IPO is around the corner
“You may also want to know the Anthropic IPOs around the corner, so this may seem like a relevant fact.”
Jessica Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 28:25 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2026
OpenAI and Anthropic Are Both Targeting an October IPO
“I think all of that is smoke and mirrors. And I think they're probably on a very conventional IPO timeframe, putting them at October ish alongside anthropic.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 15:56 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Jessica Lessin: OpenAI and Anthropic will absolutely go public
“These will be public companies. Absolutely. And maybe sooner rather than later.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 24:28 #104: AI Clones, Commoditized Ads, and the Cult of Trust · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Anthropic founders and trust will retain super-voting power post-IPO
“And this trust is also going to maintain some of that power in an IPO, which will also give the co-founders super voting shares.”
Jessica Lessin Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 22:23 OpenAI Can’t Hold a Lead, Stripe Buys OpenRouter & AI Hits a Wall · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Jessica Lessin: Anthropic will probably IPO before OpenAI
“I think Anthropic probably does it before OpenAI because they need it more, right? So if you put the need before, although I think Google and Amazon will continue to fund them.”
Jessica Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 17:17 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
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