The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ben Cera: AGI is already here and skepticism is a skill issue
“To me, AGI is here. To me, it's all possible now. And I know people are skeptical. People know AGI is not here because sometimes this, sometimes that, or that's not what I believe. And I think it's more like a skill issue.”
Ries: Google's Lost AI Opportunity Is a Bigger Debacle Than Kodak
“You know, I think if you do it, if you do the math, that's a bigger corporate debacle from a value creation, value loss perspective than Kodak's inability to commercialize a digital camera, just because the opportunity cost of that is so immense.”
Eric Ries: Vibe coding will cause a Chernobyl-style disaster
“Like this, the vibe coding era is gonna be remembered for a Chernobyl style disaster is my prediction. People are vibe coding software that they do not understand. And it's only a matter of time with all the hype that's being poured into this right now. It is …”
Cheney: Software is almost worthless because anyone can build it with AI
“Software is almost useless. It's almost worthless now because anybody can create it.”
Mohrer: Getting attention is more important than making a good product
“They're good at getting attention, which, by the way, is more important than making a good product.”
Walls: Claude Code Replaces Developers and Designers for $100/Month
“When you realize what it can do, it can replace the work of developers, designers, and an entire team of people for a hundred bucks a month, and you can build anything you want pretty much.”
Hastings: Pilot and competitors relied on large manual staffs using QuickBooks
“So pilots, any of the ones we just talked about, They have hired a very large staff that is just using QuickBooks. So they did not start by building their own QuickBooks replacement. They started using QuickBooks, and they started by hiring a lot of people, an…”
Smith: AEO software tools are defenseless commodities
“Who's unique and special? And the answer is no one. If, because it's impossible to be unique and special, And the reason it's impossible to be unique and special is because these are not hard to build. These are commodity. These are easy to build relatively co…”
Hazarkhani: Autonomous 24-hour digital employees will arrive before 2027
“Yeah, I would be more bullish than that person. I would say that it's actually much sooner.”
Lieberman asserts corporate claims that AI will not eliminate jobs are false
“Well, I mean, my, one thing I would say just specifically to the truism you just said, is I really just think it is, like, Bullshit. And like, basically every executive is like on one hand being like, how can I use AI in my company? On the other hand is saying…”
Godin: The New York Times bestseller list is an easily gamed fiction
“Bestsellers are a figment to the New York Times imagination. It's an easily gamed system that has no bearing on reality.”
Mohrer: Cluelly cloned Wave AI's mobile app and exact $139.99 annual price
“Well, they have a mobile app that looks just like mine. It just does the thing that my app does, and they price it exactly the same. You know, one 39 99 annually is very much alike.”
Tan: ZIRP-era tech workers are clinging to jobs and denying AI
“A lot of those people started their careers actually during Zerp, so they're actually sort of, you know, hanging on for dear life at both startups and Fang, and those are also, like, funny enough, some of the people who are the biggest AI deniers. Like, they j…”
Herold: Hiring for attitude over experience caps company growth at 10 percent
“The days of hiring people for attitude and training for skill, the days of hiring the kind of master all trades or jack of all trades, master of none that gets you seven to 10% growth, but it doesn't get you the hyper growth.”
Herold: True entrepreneurs are born with necessary traits, not made
“Entrepreneurs have to be born with the entrepreneurial traits, and then they can be nurtured. But I don't think you can take a person and make them an entrepreneur. You're either entrepreneurial or you're not. And some of that is the craziness. It is the ADD, …”