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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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109days to next prediction date

Everyone Steve Huffman (1)Shane Mac (1)Ethan Smith (1)Brian Chesky (1)Arman Hazarkhani (1)

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109 days left 2026-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026

Hazarkhani: Autonomous 24-hour digital employees will arrive before 2027

“Yeah, I would be more bullish than that person. I would say that it's actually much sooner.”

Arman Hazarkhani Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 50:14 #2284 Why is Morning Brew’s founder selling “AI Transformation”?

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Prediction Held up

Shim: AI out-of-office gap-filling assistants will arrive within 6-12 months

“That I think is going to happen really quickly. Like I'd say the next six to 12 months.”

David Shim Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 49:17 #2280 Read.ai is adding 50k users per day

Prediction Held up

Smith: ClearScope will launch the first AI content optimization tool

“I believe by the time this podcast gets published, ClearScope will show the first optimization tool.”

Ethan Smith Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 32:01 #2285 AEO: How to make ChatGPT promote you

Prediction Held up

Rob Walling: Drip will never become a billion-dollar business

“So yes, drip, I do want to get it bigger, but drip will never be a billion dollar business. It's not, it's just not designed to do that.”

Rob Walling Apr 9, 2014 ▶ 1:50:41 #1001 The 1,000 interview celebration

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