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The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

3held up → 0didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →
100%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Steve Huffman (1)Shane Mac (1)Ethan Smith (1)Brian Chesky (1)Arman Hazarkhani (1)
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The record (3) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Shim: AI out-of-office gap-filling assistants will arrive within 6-12 months
“That I think is going to happen really quickly. Like I'd say the next six to 12 months.”
David Shim Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 49:17 #2280 Read.ai is adding 50k users per day
Prediction Held up
Smith: ClearScope will launch the first AI content optimization tool
“I believe by the time this podcast gets published, ClearScope will show the first optimization tool.”
Ethan Smith Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 32:01 #2285 AEO: How to make ChatGPT promote you
Prediction Held up
Rob Walling: Drip will never become a billion-dollar business
“So yes, drip, I do want to get it bigger, but drip will never be a billion dollar business. It's not, it's just not designed to do that.”
Rob Walling Apr 9, 2014 ▶ 1:50:41 #1001 The 1,000 interview celebration
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