artificial general intelligence

“So, where I think we should start looking for clues, in a nutshell, is children.”

“But the technology for Siri is not really that different from the technology for ELISA, and Siri is still very far from artificial general intelligence.”

“I kind of think human intelligence is a little bit overrated. So I think I'm a little more bullish on AGI. Someone wrote, you know the large, I think it was Ilya Sutskever, you know, maybe the largest models are slightly conscious. I'm not sure I disagree. So …”

“I don't think there's gonna be like a god AI roaming around.”

“But you kind of know at the same time that in practice, what I've just described would kind of require AGI. In practice, there's like 10 ways that that's going to break And never mind the hallucination problem, which is a whole separate conversation. There's j…”

“So as long as we haven't had AGI, I don't think we will have Turing bots or AI code writers that are able to fully automate in a satisfactory way, the building of a complex app”

“The reason why Those might not matter is if you really believe you're two years away from AGI and AGI is only two years away from ASI. So none, none of this matters, but I, you know, I personally don't believe that, right? I think we've got, you know, kind of …”

“I don't think, and I actually don't, in the book, I don't think just scaling up the current LLMs will get us to, I don't, I'm not even sure they'll get us to AGI, let alone super intelligence.”

“I actually have a bet with one of the OpenAI founders about whether we'll reach AGI I think we have like two years left for the bet, and I'm pretty sure I'll still win the bet.”

“You have AGI when it's no longer possible to easily come up with tasks that, you know, you and I can do naturally, but no AI system can do.”

“We don't have AGI yet. We don't have the ideas for it yet. We're still our idea constrained even literally today.”

“And there's a trap with these humanoid robots, which is some people look at them and think it's AGI, and it's not, it's just a robot that's got legs instead of wheels, but it's still a robot.”

“Agentic engineering, I think for the foreseeable future, until we really, you know, reach SSI, or Safe Super Intelligence, or whatever you want to call it, or AGI, it'll still, it's going to be a more reduced number of software professionals.”

“But that was only meaningful when the ingredients for how to build artificial general intelligence, or ASI were not known. I think now they're known, and so.”

“Superintelligence in these contexts of the large lab context is actually just being used synonymously with what AGI used to be used for.”

“Maybe coding is the way that we get to the next level of intelligence. If you call it like AGI or ASI or whatever, the model needs some way to interact with the world and for a model, the natural way is code.”

“We think that, you know, AGI is within reach in the next couple of years.”

“I generally think something that we are doing, like, pre-training today is necessary. I think something that, like, we are doing RL today is necessary, and there will surely be a few things more, and like, we have a lot of, Very ambitious research programs on …”

“But the reason that never got us to AGI is because, well, the internet never actually included the data set of the thoughts and actions that created it. It's the final piece of code, it's the final article you write, but not the thoughts that you had and actio…”

“But the singularly collecting of skills This way by creating environments and experts we don't think will scale to artificial general intelligence.”

“You know, we maybe already have AGI or like some form of AGI. And if not, then certainly the next generation of models, the models that today are training already. If they're at all better than what we have today, then we're, we we've already hit something tha…”

“And similar to when computers were introduced, productivity increased. Not initially, productivity actually went down. And you need to do diffusion in the economy to pick it up again. We might see something like that with AGI more broadly, and starts with soft…”

“By almost any definition anyone could have written down, let's say five years ago or 10 years ago, certainly when, you know, Tim, you and I started our PhD. We basically have the vision of AGI that, that we had back then. We have things that can write code. Th…”

“Our worldview is math reasoning is a true reasoning layer of AGI.”

“If we froze the models that we have right now, and you really worked on the harness, and, like, maybe, like, we also spend more time, like, training with, like, a great harness I think people would really feel the AGI in every single domain, or could already f…”