why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Wu: OpenAI was first to launch stateful responses API
“Obviously we were the first one to launch responses API, but like a couple of other people have kind of adopted, I think Grok has it in their API. I think I saw LMSYS just did something”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI integrates with OpenRouter for multi-provider evals
“We have a really cool setup with Open Router, where we're working with them, and then you can bring your Open Router setup. And then with that, you can actually, you know, you write your evals using our data sets tool, or use our data set tool to create a bunc…”
Insight
AI industry has completed only 10% of necessary agent evaluation progress
“I actually think agent evals is still a work in progress. So I think we've, like, made maybe 10% of the progress that we need here.”
Insight
Prompt engineering has grown more entrenched despite predictions of its demise
“I feel like two years ago, people were like, oh, at some point, prop, like, prompting's gonna be dead. Like, you know, and it's like, you know... And if anything, it is, like, become more and more entrenched. And I think that, you know, there's this interestin…”
Assertion Supported
Apple Siri routes requests based on the user's ChatGPT subscription tier
“If you sign into your ChatGPT account the Siri integration will actually use your subscription status to decide what type of model to use when it passes things over to ChatGPT. And so if you're you know just a free user you get, you know, the free model. But i…”
Insight
Wu: Cheaper inference does not cut developer spending due to surging demand
“What we realized is as we make it cheaper, you know, the demand for that goes up even more, and you end up, you know, still spending quite a bit”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
OpenAI Codex successfully one-shots entire features 30% to 40% of the time
“What a lot of the interns would do is just, like, full YOLO mode, like, trust it to, like, write the whole feature. And it, like, it doesn't work. It, like, doesn't work sometimes. But, like, I don't know, like, 30, 40% of the time it just, like, one-shots it.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI's API throughput has surpassed six billion tokens per minute
“We actually zoomed past that.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI's Nick Cooper sits on Anthropic's MCP steering committee
“We actually have a member of our team, Nick Cooper, who is sitting on kind of like that, that steering committee for MCP as well.”
Disclosure
Wu: Managing and serving fine-tuned snapshots is extremely difficult for OpenAI
“We have a fine-tuning API, and, like, it is extremely difficult for us to run, you know, and serve, like, all of these different snapshots... But like, man, it is like pretty difficult for us to like manage all of these different snapshots.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
John Schulman developed the Tinker API concept across OpenAI and Anthropic
“Right when I joined OpenAI, like, this has actually been, I think, a passion project of John's. Like, he's been talking about doing something in this, like, in this shape for a while, which is, like, a truly, like, low-level research, like, fine-tuning library…”
Disclosure
Wu: OpenAI has no current plans to become a generic IdP
“Direct answer is like no plans right now, of course but I actually think we currently have some version of this, which is our partnership with Apple because with Apple, you can actually sign in to your ChatGPT account, and some of that identity does carry with…”