why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Olivia Moore: 90% of TikTok and Reels feeds are AI-generated video
“I mean, if you've been on TikTok or Reels or YouTube Shorts recently, in the past week, probably 90% of your feed is AI generated video.”
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Google Veo 3 restricts real people but permits cartoon IP
“The interesting thing about VO three is there's no IP restrictions, at least on cartoon characters.
Yeah, on real people, there are.
On cartoon characters, there are not.”
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Hundreds of thousands are making and publishing AI video
“And now there's like, I would guess hundreds of thousands of people making and publishing AI video”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Olivia Moore: AI influencer monetization will explode with AI video generation
“We already saw this with whole startups or stacks of products, and Justine looked at a bunch of these, where it was, like, basically make money by building your own Instagram influencer off of AI images. And a lot of people were making, yeah, tens of thousands…”
Insight
Olivia Moore: High model costs and rerolls hurt AI video ROI
“My learning of making a bunch of these videos and trying to post them on social feeds is it's actually like very expensive still to produce just because VO three is so expensive. And especially if you're making more complex content than like someone slicing a …”
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Google Flow defaults to Veo 2 and fails on mobile
“Flow and VO, it's, like, VO two is actually the default, and you have to, like, navigate a bunch of, like, little hidden buttons to change it to VO three. So there's, like, YouTube videos with, like, millions of hits of just, like, how do I find VO three withi…”
Insight
Olivia Moore: AI creators have a 1–2 day window for platform content arbitrage
“There's almost this, like, content arbitrage thing that happens right now, where something will go viral on one platform, and then there's, like, a one- or two-day window to be, like, the person to post it on the next platform, but it's kind of fascinating to …”
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: AI TikTok character Kim the Gorilla amassed 300K followers
“And you can see, like, all of her videos get hundreds of thousands of likes. She already has, like, 300,000 followers in, like, a really short period of time.”