Insight certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

Olivia Moore: High model costs and rerolls hurt AI video ROI

Olivia Moore · AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z · Jul 9, 2025 · at 20:27

Olivia Moore, partner at a16z, discusses her hands-on experience generating AI videos using Google's Veo 3 model and calculating production economics.

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“My learning of making a bunch of these videos and trying to post them on social feeds is it's actually like very expensive still to produce just because VO three is so expensive. And especially if you're making more complex content than like someone slicing a glass fruit and even that in itself, like I would have to do, you know, eight generations before it was cutting the fruit in the right way that I could post it and people would be happy. But especially if you're doing something more complex, like, and you're using something like VO three, it's really expensive to run these because you get a certain amount of generations on kind of the core plan, but then you have to pay for extra credits. Exactly. This is the fruit example. Like lots of times when I tried to generate it would like, you know, cut it horizontally instead of vertically, or the layers would look weird once you cut them through. And so you would end up having to do a bunch of generations to get one that works. But yeah, my learning is that the generation is still expensive enough that it's like, You have to kind of be smart about how you're gonna make money from it. Otherwise, I think a lot of people are gonna find that the ROI isn't really worth it.”

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Assertion Not checkable as stated
Olivia Moore: 90% of TikTok and Reels feeds are AI-generated video
“I mean, if you've been on TikTok or Reels or YouTube Shorts recently, in the past week, probably 90% of your feed is AI generated video.”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 2:24 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
Assertion Supported
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“The interesting thing about VO three is there's no IP restrictions, at least on cartoon characters. Yeah, on real people, there are. On cartoon characters, there are not.”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 8:21 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
Assertion Supported
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“And now there's like, I would guess hundreds of thousands of people making and publishing AI video”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 2:41 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Olivia Moore: AI influencer monetization will explode with AI video generation
“We already saw this with whole startups or stacks of products, and Justine looked at a bunch of these, where it was, like, basically make money by building your own Instagram influencer off of AI images. And a lot of people were making, yeah, tens of thousands…”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 18:08 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
Assertion Supported
Olivia Moore: Google Flow defaults to Veo 2 and fails on mobile
“Flow and VO, it's, like, VO two is actually the default, and you have to, like, navigate a bunch of, like, little hidden buttons to change it to VO three. So there's, like, YouTube videos with, like, millions of hits of just, like, how do I find VO three withi…”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 25:56 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
Insight
Olivia Moore: AI creators have a 1–2 day window for platform content arbitrage
“There's almost this, like, content arbitrage thing that happens right now, where something will go viral on one platform, and then there's, like, a one- or two-day window to be, like, the person to post it on the next platform, but it's kind of fascinating to …”
Olivia Moore Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 47:01 AI Video Is Eating The World — Olivia and Justine Moore, a16z
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