The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

3resolved → 0open claims → 2supported → 1contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Kamradt Predicts ARC-AGI-2 Will Not Be Beaten For 12 Months

“My guess is it's not going to be beat for the next 12 months.”

Greg Kamradt Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 28:29 ⚡️ARC-AGI-3: The Interactive Reasoning Benchmark

Assertion Supported

Kamradt: No AI Has Beaten Any ARC-AGI-3 Game Level Yet

“It's still true. We have yet to have an AI successfully beat any level on any of these games. So it hasn't happened yet.”

Greg Kamradt Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 14:33 ⚡️ARC-AGI-3: The Interactive Reasoning Benchmark

Assertion Supported

Kamradt: Mike Knoop Put Up $1M for ARC Prize Bounty

“Mike actually put he put up a million dollars of his own money and said, Hey, I'm going to put a bounty. So for anybody who can beat this benchmark, they're going to get a million dollars.”

Greg Kamradt Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 1:50 ⚡️ARC-AGI-3: The Interactive Reasoning Benchmark

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