superintelligence

also referred to as: super intelligence

5 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Mar 7, 2025 by Misha Laskin · across every show →

Everything said about superintelligence, oldest first

Mar 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Solving Autonomous Coding Is the Direct Path to AGI
“Our core belief is that if you solve this problem, you solve the autonomous coding problem and build a super intelligent coding agent, that that thing will lead to super intelligence more broadly.”
Misha Laskin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 3:50 Solve coding, solve AGI [Reflection.ai launch w/ CEO Misha Laskin]
Mar 7, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Superintelligence Cannot Be Trained Entirely From Scratch
“In the era of language models, I don't think you'll be able to train superintelligence from scratch.”
Misha Laskin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 5:54 Solve coding, solve AGI [Reflection.ai launch w/ CEO Misha Laskin]
Jun 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brown: Pre-training scaling will hit economic limits before superintelligence without reasoning
“Like, we're gonna scale it, sure, we're gonna scale these things up by a few more orders of magnitude, they're gonna become more capable, but we're not gonna see superintelligence from just that. And like, yes, if we had a quadrillion dollars to train these mo…”
Noam Brown Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 23:20 Scaling Test Time Compute to Multi-Agent Civilizations — Noam Brown, OpenAI
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Insight
Bissell: AI safety research must scale with superintelligence or fight losing battle
“Ideally, you are setting up your research so that as super intelligence arrives, that is a tailwind. That's also bolstering our ability to like understand the models because otherwise you're fighting a losing battle. If it's like the systems are getting more a…”
Mark Bissell Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 1:04:20 Goodfire AI’s Bet: Interpretability as the Next Frontier of Model Design — Myra Deng & Mark Bissell
Jun 3, 2026 positive
Insight
Hong: Formal verification in AI is about scaling superintelligence, not bug fixes
“It is not about, like, formal verification or verified AI to us. It's not just about handling or, like, kicking out the lousiness, the hallucinations, the mistakes. It's about scaling brilliance. It's about super intelligence.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 13:02 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
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