open-source AI models

also referred to as: open source ai models

4 statements across 4 episodes · 4 bullish · 0 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Nov 3, 2023 by Michael Royzen · across every show →

Everything said about open-source AI models, oldest first

Nov 3, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Royzen: Fine-tuned open source models will beat proprietary in 2024
“So I think that even if a delta exists, in twenty-twenty-four, the delta between proprietary and open source won't be large enough that a startup like us, with a lot of data that we've collected, can take the data that we have, fine-tune an open source model, …”
Michael Royzen Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 38:25 Beating GPT-4 with Open Source Models - with Michael Royzen of Phind
Nov 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Specialized open-source expert models will outperform one-size-fits-all closed-source models
“And that's our prediction is With specialization, there will be a lot of expert models, really, really good, and even better than, like, one size fits all open source closed source model.”
Lin Qiao Nov 25, 2024 ▶ 33:45 Why Compound AI + Open Source will beat Closed AI — with Lin Qiao, CEO of Fireworks AI
Dec 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Yegge: Open source models will match Gemini 3 by next summer
“From what I've heard, they, they're seven months behind, and that, that gap is gradually narrowing. The frontier models, which means OSS models will be as good as Gemini three next summer.”
Steve Yegge Dec 26, 2025 ▶ 31:46 Steve Yegge's Vibe Coding Manifesto: Why Claude Code Isn't It & What Comes After the IDE
Jun 17, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: Most AI models will be open source in five years
“We actually think in five years, most models will be open source.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:14:09 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
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