Lean

16 statements across 4 episodes · 7 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jul 24, 2025 by Dr. Jasper Zhang · said 83 times in 8 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Carina Hong (32), RJ Haneke (27), Dr. Jasper Zhang (4), Guillaume Lample (3), Yi Tay (1), Shawn Wang (1), Jeff Dean (1), Anima Anandkumar (1)

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Everything said about Lean, oldest first

Jul 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
The Lean theorem proving language has only about one million training tokens
“For Lean there are not enough data for Lean, right? There are, like, probably one million tokens in about Lean. Right now, and I know a lot of, like, professors and PhD researchers are trying to build the biggest lean data set in the future.”
Dr. Jasper Zhang Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 24:50 ⚡️Math Olympiad gold medalist explains OpenAI and Google DeepMind IMO Gold Performances
Jul 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Powerful math reasoning models will arrive soon using Lean as a verifier
“And so if you can just use lean to kind of become the verifier, then it's easy. So I think we probably will see very powerful reasoning models in, in math very soon.”
Dr. Jasper Zhang Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 19:37 ⚡️Math Olympiad gold medalist explains OpenAI and Google DeepMind IMO Gold Performances
Jul 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
DeepMind and OpenAI eliminated formal Lean translation for 2025 IMO solutions
“What surprised me is this time they don't use formal language, but instead they just use LM. And so last year when they tried to do the IMO, they need like a like a human to kind of translate the natural language. Problems to Lean, and then they use Lean to ki…”
Dr. Jasper Zhang Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 6:10 ⚡️Math Olympiad gold medalist explains OpenAI and Google DeepMind IMO Gold Performances
Jul 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem in Lean is doable in 2-3 years
“It's I think definitely possible. Yeah. Like he, so the professor is Kevin buzzard and he got like a grant and now he just like focused on writing the proof for Ling. Like he's hoping to finish that in like two or three years. And then basically like if Ling i…”
Dr. Jasper Zhang Jul 24, 2025 ▶ 26:35 ⚡️Math Olympiad gold medalist explains OpenAI and Google DeepMind IMO Gold Performances
May 5, 2026 bullish
Insight
AI Proof Generation Shifts Human Scientific Burden to Automated Verification
“Now that we're in this regime where you can just get ChatGPT to tackle thousands of questions at the same time, and it will return proofs for a significant fraction of them. Now, actually the onus is back on the humans to verify all the outputs. And so, yeah, …”
Alex Lupsasca May 5, 2026 ▶ 1:29:49 🔬How GPT‑5 derived new results in theoretical physics and quantum gravity — Alex Lupsasca, OpenAI
Jun 3, 2026
Disclosure
Hong: Axiom's AXLE toolkit contains 14 Lean tools including VerifyProof
“And Excel is currently, I think, 14 like, such tools starting from Verify Proof, which is the sort of, To make sure that there's not, nothing weird you know, going on, like no, no sort of cheating by lean code.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 1:07:59 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Hong: Axiom Math released AXLE, a Lean proof validation toolkit
“So we just released AXLE, A-X-L-E, stands for Axiom Lean Engine. And it's really a set of, kind of, proof validation and manipulation tools that are built for Lean in the language of Lean. So it's a bunch of metaprogramming tools.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 1:07:18 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026
Insight
Hong: Auto-informalizing Lean code into natural language is much easier than auto-formalizing
“Auto-informalization is a lot easier than auto-formalization minus the problem of no grounding, right?”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 39:28 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hong: Competitor's AI demo can be solved entirely by Lean's grind tactic
“We're talking about, for example, the grind tactic in Lean. It can currently handle a lot of mass proofs, like, at a very low level. And this is pretty shocking because I have seen, you know, actually another company working in the same space, like, you know, …”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 10:27 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hong: Each line of verified code currently takes 20 proof lines
“Currently, actually, you know, for each line of code written, there could be like 20 lines of proof.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 36:18 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hong: Claude plus AXLE is a go-to setup in Lean community
“And we have seen also, we have heard from a lot of the people that Claude plus Axel is kind of their go-to setup for now.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 1:09:03 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hong: Lean-Based Systems Will Struggle With Highly Creative Combinatorics
“I think a Lean-based system will struggle in those very creative places, which is why we at Axiom actually also invest on something called mathematical discovery.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 20:25 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hong: Auto-generated blueprints will be the key bottleneck in formal math
“I think auto-generated Blueprint is going to be a technical bottleneck that many people are trying to solve around the same time.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 1:10:56 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Jun 3, 2026 positive
Insight
Hong: Lean and Rust yield superior reinforcement learning convergence over Python
“If you want proof to be informal math, It's very annoying, because then that's, like, just makes objective function. Your code is something like Python, your proof is, say, natural language, math proof. You will not have very strong RL kind of performance, rig…”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 30:00 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Aug 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lean faces CPU-bound scalability limits for verifying large neural networks
“So lean still has a lot of shortcomings there. It's CPU based and you know, it's not, Like, getting that onto the GPU has a lot of nuances there. So, you know, a lot of work needs to be done. So what we've started with is a framework, you know, making that mor…”
Anima Anandkumar Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 10:31 🔬 Why Transformers Hit a Wall the Moment Physics Shows Up — Anima Anandkumar, Caltech
Aug 26, 2026
Assertion Supported
TorchLean enables defining PyTorch-like neural networks directly in Lean
“So what it really enables is that you can now write neural networks essentially in Lean. So instead of writing in, like, PyTorch, it's like a PyTorch-like abstraction, but you can, like, kind of, you know, write it in Lean, and so it can be fully formalized in…”
Anima Anandkumar Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 6:45 🔬 Why Transformers Hit a Wall the Moment Physics Shows Up — Anima Anandkumar, Caltech
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