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inference compute

2 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Jul 31, 2025 by Nathan Lambert · across every show →

Everything said about inference compute, oldest first

Jul 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Hybrid reasoners may be phased out except for niche uses
“I think in plenty of ways, like hybrid reasoners might just be aged out except for niche applications because quality is so much more important than having a hundred X less inference tokens. It's like you just pay for it and compute and that'll get better.”
Nathan Lambert Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 20:52 The RLVR Revolution — with Nathan Lambert (AI2, Interconnects.ai)
Oct 18, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Merrill: AI agents could ace Terminal-Bench with $1,000 compute per task
“Like, I think there's probably a way in which you spend a thousand dollars on tokens for each terminal bench task. And like get them all right just by scaling inference time compute.”
Mike Merrill Oct 18, 2025 ▶ 30:33 Terminal-Bench: Pushing Claude Code, OpenAI Codex, Factory Droid, et al to the limits
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