The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Natural gas produces more net global warming than coal
“Natural gas actually produces more global warming in almost every case than coal.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 27:04 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Contradicted
Driving a Tesla on the US East Coast actively hurts the climate
“If you drive a Tesla and you live in the East Coast of the United States, statistically speaking, you're hurting the climate, not helping it.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 29:37 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Contradicted
Global temperatures will rise for a century even if emissions stop
“It turns out if you stopped all emissions on day one, the climate will continue to drift, drift upwards for about a hundred years. I have written a bunch of papers on global warming. I've done this calculation. Other people have done this calculation. You know…”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 40:03 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Partly supported
Modern high-speed trains in Europe and Asia effectively operate autonomously
“Well, many modern train systems are autonomous for all intents and purposes. They will have humans on board as a safety or a backup feature, but when you have modern trains, by which I don't mean any train in the United States, I'm afraid, but if you have the …”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 9:24 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Supported
First-year methane warming impact is 120 times higher than CO2
“Methane, on the first year you spill it, it's a 120 times higher global warming impact than CO₂.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 27:26 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Supported
Emitted atmospheric carbon dioxide persists for roughly 20,000 years
“So, when you emit CO₂, it stays in the atmosphere for a really long time. Thousands of years. Tens of thousands of years. People argue, but you wouldn't be totally wrong by saying there was a 20,000 year lifespan.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 39:38 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Supported
Myhrvold left a postdoc with Stephen Hawking to build a startup
“Took a leave of absence to work on a project I had started in graduate school with some friends. And that project turned into a software company, and I became the CEO of the company. And Then Microsoft bought the company, and I was at Microsoft.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 3:39 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Supported
Myhrvold convinced Bill Gates to grant him leave for culinary school
“Well, I had to convince the Culinary Institute in France to take me as a student. I had to convince Bill to give me a leave of absence. But it worked out.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 5:44 Nathan Myhrvold
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