The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Brockman: Altman Asked Satya Nadella to Fund Venture Absorbing All OpenAI Staff
“Sam talked to Satya, who we'd been talking about. Hey, can you be a funder? Could you know, help, help support this new endeavor? I was like, Hey, actually, can we expand from the small life raft to like, yes, can we take everyone? And we're like, all right, w…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 19:56 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Assertion Partly supported
Wolfe: Thomas Reardon single-handedly coded Microsoft's Internet Explorer
“Single-handedly codes Internet Explorer, and makes a lot of money, retires, does another company, retires, and then early thirties now.”
Josh Wolfe Jan 22, 2019 ▶ 41:10 #50 Josh Wolfe: Inventing the Future
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech capex reached $220B and will surpass $300B
“I think last year the Google, Google, Microsoft, AWS, and Meta spent about two hundred and twenty billion dollars of CapEx last year, And we'll probably spend something over 300 this year.”
Benedict Evans Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 1:00:37 Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans
Assertion Partly supported
Wolfe: Bill Gates only sits on Berkshire, Microsoft, and Kymeta boards
“Which led to this company called Kymeta, which I co-founded with Bill Gates. And I'm in a board room with Bill Gates, and he's on the board of this company. It's the only board he's been on besides Berkshire and Microsoft.”
Josh Wolfe Jan 22, 2019 ▶ 18:11 #50 Josh Wolfe: Inventing the Future
Assertion Supported
Microsoft acquired LinkExchange for $265 million on $15 million in revenue
“We had fifteen million dollars in revenue. You can kind of tell that we were in a bubble when someone would be willing to buy a company that had fifteen million dollars in revenue for two hundred and sixty-five million dollars. But also, you know, it was the t…”
Alfred Lin Jan 21, 2025 ▶ 21:05 How to Win by Being Right and Contrarian: Lessons from Zappos to DoorDash
Assertion Supported
Myhrvold convinced Bill Gates to grant him leave for culinary school
“Well, I had to convince the Culinary Institute in France to take me as a student. I had to convince Bill to give me a leave of absence. But it worked out.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 5:44 Nathan Myhrvold
Assertion Supported
Myhrvold left a postdoc with Stephen Hawking to build a startup
“Took a leave of absence to work on a project I had started in graduate school with some friends. And that project turned into a software company, and I became the CEO of the company. And Then Microsoft bought the company, and I was at Microsoft.”
Nathan Myhrvold Mar 21, 2023 ▶ 3:39 Nathan Myhrvold
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