Tetlock: Effective forecasters anchor on statistical base rates before adjusting
Philip Tetlock · #6 Philip Tetlock: How to See the Future · Dec 8, 2015 · at 11:23
Philip Tetlock discusses the core cognitive heuristics used by top forecasters with host Shane Parrish.
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“Start with the outside and work inside. That, that, that's a, that's, it's one of our mantras.”
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