Galef: Tetlock's forecasters beat geopolitical and economic experts by a huge margin
Julia Galef · #8 Julia Galef: The Art of Changing Minds · Feb 20, 2016 · at 49:47
Julia Galef highlights findings documented in Philip Tetlock's book 'Superforecasting' on forecasting research competitions.
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“Basically, Phil Tetlock's team of forecasters outperformed by a huge margin, all the other teams of forecasters and like experts in, in politics and economics who are trying to make predictions about world events. And that's because Phil Tetlock's team was using these techniques”
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