Superforecasting

1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Feb 20, 2016 by Julia Galef · across every show →

Everything said about Superforecasting, oldest first

Feb 20, 2016 bullish
Assertion Supported
Galef: Tetlock's forecasters beat geopolitical and economic experts by a huge margin
“Basically, Phil Tetlock's team of forecasters outperformed by a huge margin, all the other teams of forecasters and like experts in, in politics and economics who are trying to make predictions about world events. And that's because Phil Tetlock's team was usi…”
Julia Galef Feb 20, 2016 ▶ 49:47 #8 Julia Galef: The Art of Changing Minds
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