Phil Tetlock
2 statements across 2 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Feb 20, 2016 by Julia Galef · across every show →
Everything said about Phil Tetlock, oldest first
Feb 20, 2016 bullish
Galef: Tetlock's forecasters beat geopolitical and economic experts by a huge margin
“Basically, Phil Tetlock's team of forecasters outperformed by a huge margin, all the other teams of forecasters and like experts in, in politics and economics who are trying to make predictions about world events. And that's because Phil Tetlock's team was usi…”
Jun 1, 2021
Preaching and prosecuting freeze beliefs while politicking merely appeases tribes
“The danger of preaching and prosecuting is that you don't change your mind. You're right. Everyone else is wrong. And so you might be very motivated to get other people to rethink, but your views are frozen. They're set in stone. And politicking is interesting…”