The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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Everyone Shane Parrish (7)Josh Wolfe (3)Brad Jacobs (3)Pedro Domingos (2)Joe Liemandt (2)Dr. David Sinclair (2)Balaji Srinivasan (2)Vlad Tenev (1)Scott Page (1)Reed Hastings (1)Kunal Shah (1)John Bragg (1)

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Prediction Didn’t hold up

Rockefeller Predicted Standard Oil Would Someday Refine All Oil

“The Standard Oil Company will someday refine all of the oil and make all of the barrels.”

Shane Parrish Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 1:00:36 John D. Rockefeller: The Principles Behind The Greatest Fortune in History

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The Calls

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