The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions

0due for another look

2closed calls →

53193days to next prediction date

Everyone Shane Parrish (7)Josh Wolfe (3)Brad Jacobs (3)Pedro Domingos (2)Joe Liemandt (2)Dr. David Sinclair (2)Balaji Srinivasan (2)Vlad Tenev (1)Scott Page (1)Reed Hastings (1)Kunal Shah (1)John Bragg (1)

drag to pan · pinch, buttons, or ⌘/ctrl scroll to zoom

today 20252026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 1 call beyond 2029 →

Next up (1)

53193 days left 2172-05-03

Prediction Open · timeframe May 2172

Sinclair: Someone Born Today Will Live to Be 150 Years Old

“But I do think that somebody born today We'll live that long because the technology is just going so quickly.”

Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:26:06 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Partly held up

Sinclair: Recommended longevity habits add 14 to 15 years of life

“Just by doing the things that I'm talking about today, you'll get an extra 14, 15 years on average.”

Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 34:47 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Sinclair: Team May Reverse Aging in Humans Within 18 Months

“In Canada, we have a non-human primate study for safety to see how that goes, and within the next 18 months, if all goes well, we will be reversing aging in a human, if all goes well.”

Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:11:01 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process

The Calls

Next up (1)

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Turn any episode into a week of clips.