Paul Slovic
1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Dec 26, 2018 by Adam Robinson · said 5 times in 1 episodes since 2018 · across every show →
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brought up most by Shane Parrish (5)
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2018 5 mentions in 1 episode
Everything said about Paul Slovic, oldest first
Dec 26, 2018 neutral
Robinson: Slovic Study Proves Extra Information Increases Overconfidence Without Improving Accuracy
“Their accuracy was still only 17% with 40 pieces of information, but their confidence almost doubled to 31%. It went from 19% to 31%. So they are now almost twice as confident as they ought to be, which is to say they're overconfident. So all the extra informa…”