horse handicappers
1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Dec 26, 2018 by Adam Robinson · across every show →
Everything said about horse handicappers, oldest first
Dec 26, 2018 neutral
Robinson: Slovic Study Proves Extra Information Increases Overconfidence Without Improving Accuracy
“Their accuracy was still only 17% with 40 pieces of information, but their confidence almost doubled to 31%. It went from 19% to 31%. So they are now almost twice as confident as they ought to be, which is to say they're overconfident. So all the extra informa…”