computers

also referred to as: computer

10 statements across 6 episodes · 6 bullish · 2 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Apr 28, 2015 by Michael Mauboussin · across every show →

Everything said about computers, oldest first

Apr 28, 2015 positive
Insight
Mauboussin: Algorithms improve decisions by removing emotion and utilizing base rates
“They're good at looking at lots of data. They're good at establishing and understanding base rates. So, for example, if you're thinking about an appropriate reference class for a particular decision, your technology will allow you to access that reference clas…”
Michael Mauboussin Apr 28, 2015 ▶ 21:27 #1 Michael Mauboussin: When To Trust Your Gut
Aug 30, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Domingos: Computers Will Soon Discover and Store Most Knowledge on Earth
“So in the not too distant future, the vast majority of the knowledge on earth Will be discovered and will be stored in computers.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 3:34 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Domingos: Machine Knowledge Discovery Will Be as Momentous as Evolution
“And I think this emergence of computers as a source of knowledge is going to be every bit as momentous as the previous three were.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 3:10 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Domingos: Commercial Aviation Would Be Safer Flown Entirely by Computers
“And in fact, it would be safer if it was completely flown by a computer. You know, pilots tend to take, you know, the controls at landing and takeoff, which are actually the more dangerous moments. And they make more errors than the computers do.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 34:46 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016
Insight
Domingos: Human Competition Will Endure Despite Superhuman Computers
“I think more likely what will happen is that people will still be playing each other, even though the best is our computers in the same way that, you know, there's race cars that go way faster than people. But we still have people doing, you know, in the Olymp…”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 49:51 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016 positive
Assertion Supported
Domingos: Human-AI Centaur Teams Outperform Standalone Computers in Chess
“The best chess players in the world today are what are called centaurs in the community. They're a team of a human and a computer. So a human and a computer can actually, together, can actually beat the computer.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 26:27 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Oct 11, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Computers will surpass humans at quality thinking long before intuition
“It'll be a long time before those intuitions and those imaginations are created by computers. Ok, but it won't be a long time before computers produce better quality thinking.”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 1:13:50 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
Aug 21, 2018 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cowen: Computers will not replace sales, marketing, or management anytime soon
“So there's always room for sales, for marketing, for management, including in the distant future. Computers will not be doing that for us anytime soon.”
Tyler Cowen Aug 21, 2018 ▶ 3:22 #39 Tyler Cowen: Thinking About Thinking
Dec 26, 2018
Assertion Supported
Robinson: Top mathematicians cannot understand computer-generated proofs
“Right now, there are mathematical proofs done by computers that human beings can't understand. The best mathematicians in the world don't understand those proofs, and all they can say is, we can't find a mistake in it. It's probably right, but we're not real s…”
Adam Robinson Dec 26, 2018 ▶ 13:17 #48 Adam Robinson: Winning at the Great Game (Part 2)
Feb 18, 2020 negative
Insight
Frank Stephenson argues computers should never be used for initial design ideation
“So I think it's good to use computers, obviously, but I would never, ever believe in using a computer as a tool for creativity at the beginning. You can use it later, like I said, to give you variations and options and things like that, and maybe to speed up t…”
Frank Stephenson Feb 18, 2020 ▶ 43:20 #76 Frank Stephenson: Pushing the Limits of Innovation
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