The Ledger

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Movva: Rival chipmakers will not replicate NVIDIA's NVLink quickly
“I think I'm not holding my breath for other companies broadly to figure out NVLink quickly. It's challenging technology to figure out. It's hard to scale. It's hard to productionize.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 22:33 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Opinion
Movva: NVLink is mandatory for low-latency AI inference
“NVLink is mandatory, I would say, for low latency inference.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 22:23 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Insight
Movva: Sharding matrix multiply across eight GPUs yields only 4x to 5x speedup
“You'll use eight times more hardware, but you won't get eight times the speed. You might get like four to five X the speed. You're not going to get strong scaling. And this is because of communication overhead.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 21:37 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
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