Fund manager Cliff Sosin analyzes distorted credit market conditions during the 2022 Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Opinion
Sosin: Fund managers are 'deeply arrogant' to apply personal ethical frameworks
“I think that if you manage money for other people, you're deeply arrogant if you are going to apply your ethical framework onto
The way that you invest.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sosin: Someday people will compare Jeff Bezos to Carvana's Ernie Garcia
“Someday people will compare Jeff Bezos to Ernie Garcia, not the other way around.”
Opinion
Sosin: Carvana's 2023 debt exchange did not save the business
“And that whole exchange happened in the summer of 23, and a lot of, sort of, the retelling of the story is, and by virtue of that exchange, they, like, saved the business. By that point, the data I was looking at said that everything was great. That was just k…”
Assertion Supported
Sosin: Every competitor attempting to copy Carvana's vertically integrated model failed
“Everyone who's tried to build this business besides Carvana has failed, and that's why It's taken Carvana, you know, over 10 years and ten billion dollars to get, you know, where it is.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Sosin: Carvana will probably reach 13% to 14% EBITDA margins
“And they'll probably get to the 13, fourteen-ish percent range based on what they've said, and there's no reason to doubt it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sosin: Carvana sells vehicles $500 to $600 cheaper than CarMax
“And we track every car that they sell and we compare it to similar cars sold by CarMax. We also compare it to other market indices. And we believe that they sell cars of the order of sort of five, 600 dollars cheaper doing that.”