Taiwan

8 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 5 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Sep 30, 2025 by Dylan Patel · said 43 times in 8 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Dylan Patel (8), Dan Wang (8), Dan Sundheim (8), Gavin Baker (6), Patrick O'Shaughnessy (4), Ben Thompson (4), Walter Russell Mead (2), Rob Wachen (2)

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Everything said about Taiwan, oldest first

Sep 30, 2025 bearish
Insight
Patel: If Taiwan Geopolitical Risk Scares You from TSMC, Avoid Apple Too
“I know a lot of people's PMs are like, oh, you can't invest in TSMC because geopolitical risk, and it's like, no, dude, you can't invest in fucking Apple.”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:39:15 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: US, Taiwan, and Korea Face Recessions If AI Models Stall
“At the end of the day, if the models don't improve, we're absolutely screwed, and in fact, the US, like, you know, in another year, if this lasts another year, and then it happens, like, the US economy will go into a recession, like, straight up because of thi…”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:09:13 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Oct 16, 2025 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Wang: Taiwan status quo persists because it benefits all major players
“Right now I see the status quo persisting because the status quo works well for the Chinese, the Taiwanese and the Americans.”
Dan Wang Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 1:28:53 China vs America: The Battle for Global Dominance Explained | Dan Wang interview · Invest Like The Best
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Disrupting Taiwan's Semiconductor Supply Chain Would Trigger a Global Depression
“If that supply chain were to get screwed up or disremediated, we would have, like, a, Incredibly bad economy. On the order of, like, depression type economy.”
Dan Sundheim Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 1:17:03 Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX · Invest Like The Best
May 28, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Loeb: Bullish on Korea, Taiwan, and Japan; Europe Tough Due to Regulation
“In terms of the big markets, yeah, there's a lot going on in Korea, Taiwan, Japan. I'm Probably more bullish on just in terms of a hunting ground to find great companies. The European markets are just tough right now, given the regulatory environment. They jus…”
Dan Loeb May 28, 2026 ▶ 46:43 Legendary Investor Dan Loeb on AI, Credit, & Third Point’s $25B Strategy · Invest Like The Best
Sep 8, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mead predicts a Chinese naval blockade of Taiwan could easily happen
“I mean, let's imagine China declares a blockade of Taiwan, which could very easily happen.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 21:17 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
Sep 8, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mead predicts China will attempt a soft customs blockade of Taiwan
“And we see the Chinese, I think they're trying to get themselves into a position where they could have a soft blockade, where, like, they could give the orders that any ship that wants to go to Taiwan first has to stop at a Chinese port and go through a custom…”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 1:01:29 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
Sep 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Mead says Japan views Chinese control of Taiwan as an existential threat
“And the Japanese see would see Chinese control of Taiwan as a direct threat to Japanese independence.”
Walter Russell Mead Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 1:02:15 Why the World Order Is Collapsing and American Power Is Rising
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