SpaceX

includes SpaceX Dragon, SpaceX Starship

17 statements across 8 episodes · 12 bullish · 2 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Apr 15, 2025 by Neil Mehta · said 98 times in 16 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Patrick O'Shaughnessy (40), Gavin Baker (21), Scott Nolan (13), Jeremy Giffon (4), Bill Gurley (4), Ari Emanuel (4), Neil Mehta (2), Henry Ellenbogen (2)

tap a year for its mentions
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2026 81 mentions in 10 episodes 8 per episode
2025 17 mentions in 6 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about SpaceX, oldest first

Apr 15, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Mehta: Passing on Elon Musk's SpaceX was Greenoaks' single biggest mistake
“It's actually the biggest mistake we've ever made at Green Oaks. It's a mistake I'm about to tell you. Which as we had heard, he fires people quickly. He's hyper aggressive. He's a, he's, he manages down to like the nth layer. You know, he micromanages people …”
Neil Mehta Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 36:46 Finding the Next Figma, Wiz, & Stripe Before It's Obvious | Neil Mehta Interview · Invest Like The Best
Jun 10, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Gurley: SpaceX and Tesla are Elon Musk outliers, not repeatable models
“SpaceX and Tesla are data points, but they're outliers really, and they're both attached to Elon. So I think it'll, we'll have to see four or five of those from non Elon to know if it's possible. I, what I've learned and heard and studied about his execution p…”
Bill Gurley Jun 10, 2025 ▶ 1:06:47 The Gift and The Curse of Staying Private with Bill Gurley · Invest Like The Best
Nov 19, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Emanuel: Personally invested in SpaceX, X, and xAI
“If I'm a betting man, first of all, if I'm a betting man, I'm betting on that dude. I bet I'm on SpaceX, X, XAI, Twitter.”
Ari Emanuel Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 47:32 Ari Emanuel’s "Anti-AI" Bet on Live Entertainment · Invest Like The Best
Feb 24, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Sundheim: SpaceX Starlink Will Drastically Undercut Other Broadband Options Within Years
“I think that the cost, they've come so far down the cost curve, I think that in a relatively short amount of time, like months, few years they are going to be dramatically cheaper than, Any other form of delivering broadband.”
Dan Sundheim Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 53:51 Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Nolan: Incumbent Aerospace Stagnated for Decades on Subsidized Cost-Plus Contracts
“So that was an industry that had stagnated for decades. Nobody, no incumbent was doing anything interesting. They were all just writing government cost plus contracts. The U S assumed that space launch was a nation state capability. That would never be a comme…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 2:49 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Nolan Believed SpaceX Would Own Space Launch at 30 Employees
“I know the incumbents are not going to make an impact, but there's this new company, SpaceX, that is going to ultimately own the entire space launch industry, which I believed even when it was 30 people.”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 2:27 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026 positive
Insight
Nolan: Government Agency Believers Eagerly Collaborate With Credible Companies
“And so I think my takeaway was in, in industries where you have true believers who are in the government agencies and who have been doing this for a long time, they're there because they want it to happen. And there's a lot of openness and excitement to workin…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 30:09 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026 bullish
Insight
Nolan: Stagnated, cost-plus oligopoly industries are prime for venture disruption
“I think the thing that's most linked to stagnation is probably being a cost plus industry where there's very little incentive for progress, not much incentive to bring the cost structure down. And therefore you end up with this, like this fixed market size tha…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 11:38 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
Apr 14, 2026
Insight
Nolan: Hardware Teams Should Aim for 90-95% Readiness and Iterate Later
“So it was really use good engineering principles. Think from first principles, move fast, get it to 90, 95%, not 99%. We can, and it's like get operational and you can make it better later. But if we just never launch, if we never get operational, this isn't g…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 31:16 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
May 13, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Anthropic partners with SpaceX for compute at Colossus facility in Memphis
“We announced a partnership with SpaceX for their Colossus facility in Memphis. We're really excited about that. It's gonna allow us to continue to expand, especially on the consumer and prosumer side.”
Krishna Rao May 13, 2026 ▶ 22:59 Inside Anthropic's $100 Billion Al Compute Commitment | CFO Krishna Rao · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
SpaceX and Tesla's TerraFab Domestic Semiconductor Joint Venture Will Succeed
“The Turfab, it's a SpaceX, I believe Tesla's involved as well joint venture to build the world's largest fab here in America, and I'm, I think they're going to be successful.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 27:51 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Baker: SpaceX operates 98% to 99% of all satellites in orbit
“SpaceX operates the world's largest satellite fleet, which is like 98 or 99% of all satellites in orbit.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 18:12 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Baker: SpaceX valuation compounded in the low 30% range annually for a decade
“SpaceX compounded it, you know, low 30% per year for whatever that was, a decade.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 12:08 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: SpaceX deployed more compute faster and cheaper than anyone over 3 years
“They've shown over the last three years, they can bring on more compute faster than anyone at lower prices.”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 1:11:46 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Baker: Benchmark Funded Orbital Compute Startup StarCloud Partnering with SpaceX
“There's our friends at Benchmark, they funded StarCloud, and I don't know, last time StarCloud is an orbital compute company that, like, SpaceX is kind of partnering with they're gonna, I think, let them use the Starlink laser technology, which is really impor…”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 1:16:03 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Grok, Next-Gen Models, and Cursor Will Rapidly Hit $10B ARR
“Grok, 4.5, and Cursor, the sum of that probably hits a ten billion dollar ARR pretty quickly.”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 1:13:05 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Baker: Only hyperscalers, CoreWeave, Crusoe, and SpaceX added 500MW in a year
“To this day, the only companies that have brought on more than 500 megawatts of power, In a year, are the hyperscalers, CoreWeave, Crusoe, and SpaceX.”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 1:13:40 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
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